How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Remo-4.9+0.3+11.2
-0.3+0.0+0.6
Guarani vs Fortaleza+1.0+0.1-2.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim-1.1+0.8+1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Salgueiro vs Juventude-1.1+0.7+1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fortaleza vs River-PI-0.7+1.0+0.5
ASA vs Confiança-0.4+1.1-0.4
ABC vs Salgueiro-0.4+0.7*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Remo vs ASA+8.2-4.8-13.2
+0.4-0.3-0.6
River-PI vs Juventude-1.0+0.7+1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Confiança vs Fortaleza-0.3+1.1-0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Remo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
42-51In10012,576*
4113-2-2In100010,581*
4012-4-1In100019,207*
3912-3-2In100036,009*
3812-2-3In100062,570*
3711-4-2In9910103,089*
3611-3-3In9820166,471*
3511-2-4In9730252,514*
3410-4-3In9460369,834*
3310-3-4In90100524,057*
329-5-3In831610710,747*
319-4-4In752410925,559*
309-3-5100.0%6234400672,010
8-6-3100.06433300494,370*
298-5-4100.05042800874,883
9-2-6100.04943800537,081*
288-4-5100.0344915101,099,033
7-7-3100.035491510544,805*
278-3-699.9204927400915,894
7-6-499.922502530935,606*
267-5-599.61142389001,269,985
8-2-799.6104238900732,720*
257-4-698.04284620201,304,095
6-7-498.2429461920787,317*
246-6-593.211543347001,056,740
7-3-793.011543347001,045,399*
236-5-680.905314518201,286,700
7-2-881.60531451710744,843*
226-4-760.701164433601,105,810
5-7-562.00116453260788,056*
215-6-637.80063245161900,524
6-3-838.30063245161797,267*
205-5-718.7021745315916,129
4-8-519.2011846304546,538*
195-4-87.5007364512670,179
4-7-67.5007364512541,235*
184-6-72.4002235124964,432*
174-5-80.601124839734,424*
164-4-90.10053955536,395*
153-6-80.0022969374,616*
143-5-90.0011881249,219*
133-4-10Out01189157,472*
122-6-9Out069494,948*
112-5-10Out039754,079*
102-4-11Out19928,740*
91-6-10Out19914,683*
81-5-11Out01006,711*
71-4-12Out01002,943*
2-6Out1001,711*
00-0-17Out1003,354
Total:70.8%2019171512107026,984,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Guarani vs Remo+0.5-0.0-1.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim+0.1-0.1-0.1
Salgueiro vs Juventude+0.1-0.1-0.1
Guarani vs Fortaleza-0.1-0.0+0.1
Fortaleza vs River-PI+0.0-0.1+0.1
ABC vs Salgueiro+0.0-0.1+0.0
ASA vs Confiança+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Remo vs ASA-0.7+0.5+1.1
River-PI vs Juventude+0.1-0.1-0.1
Confiança vs Fortaleza+0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
45-51100
4414-2-11000
4314-1-21000
4213-3-11000
4113-2-210000
4012-4-110000
3912-3-210000
3812-2-39900
3711-4-299110
3611-3-397120
3511-2-495230
3410-4-391360
3310-3-48541000
329-5-377716010
319-4-465924010
309-3-55112330300
298-5-436144208000
288-4-5211448115010
278-3-61011472270400
7-6-4101247325030
267-5-537366380900
8-2-737375380900
257-4-61321745120020
6-7-41321845119020
246-6-50187412340700
7-3-70186412340700
236-5-600242654501820
7-2-800242744501710
226-4-70011154313360
5-7-50011064413260
215-6-600024293451610
6-3-800033303441610
205-5-7001134453250
4-8-5001144463140
195-4-8000433445130
184-6-7000122049272
174-5-8000941437
164-4-90003275218
153-6-8001155134
143-5-90064252
133-4-10023068
122-6-9011980
112-5-10001189
102-4-110694
91-6-100397
81-5-11199
71-4-12199
61-3-130100
2-5100
00-0-17100
Total:164162161141129530