Portuguesa Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 63.2%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Portuguesa finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

36	-39						In		100										1,508	*
35		11	-	2	-	0	In		100	0									769
34		11	-	1	-	1	In		100	0									2,022
33		10	-	3	-	0	In		99	1									3,377	*
32		10	-	2	-	1	In		98	2	0								8,247
31		10	-	1	-	2	In		95	5	0								14,636	*
30		9	-	3	-	1	In		92	8	0								25,395	*
29		9	-	2	-	2	In		86	14	0	0							46,496	*
28		9	-	1	-	3	In		78	22	1	0							71,685	*
27		8	-	3	-	2	In		67	31	2	0							111,133	*
26		8	-	2	-	3	In		53	42	4	0							167,427	*
25		7	-	4	-	2	In		42	50	8	0							144,058
		8	-	1	-	4	In		34	54	12	0							84,944	*
24		7	-	3	-	3	100.0	%	25	56	19	1	0						311,077	*
23		7	-	2	-	4	100.0		11	51	34	4	0						246,448
		6	-	5	-	2	100.0		15	54	29	2	0						155,196	*
22		6	-	4	-	3	99.9		6	43	44	8	0						334,151
		7	-	1	-	5	99.8		4	38	47	10	0						153,684	*
21		6	-	3	-	4	99.1		1	26	53	20	1						437,912
		5	-	6	-	2	99.1		2	28	51	18	1						146,620	*
20		6	-	2	-	5	95.9		0	11	48	36	4						344,822
		5	-	5	-	3	97.0		0	15	50	31	3						319,012	*
19		5	-	4	-	4	90.9		0	5	39	46	9						503,032
		6	-	1	-	6	88.1		0	4	34	51	12						150,479
		4	-	7	-	2	91.9		0	7	41	45	8						64,325	*
18		5	-	3	-	5	79.5		0	1	24	54	21						525,235
		4	-	6	-	3	80.8		0	2	25	54	19						227,116	*
17		4	-	5	-	4	67.4			0	14	53	33						383,491
		5	-	2	-	6	63.9			0	12	52	36						368,325	*
16		4	-	4	-	5	50.8			0	6	45	49						502,785
		5	-	1	-	7	46.3			0	5	42	54						129,534
		3	-	7	-	3	51.7			0	7	45	48						85,946	*
15		4	-	3	-	6	34.7			0	2	33	65						437,648
		3	-	6	-	4	36.4			0	2	34	64						221,714	*
14		3	-	5	-	5	23.8			0	1	23	76						330,699	*
		4	-	2	-	7	21.7				1	21	78						246,351	*
13		3	-	4	-	6	14.2				0	14	86						336,054	*
		4	-	1	-	8	12.3			0	0	12	88						80,655
		2	-	7	-	4	14.5			0	0	14	86						63,538
12		3	-	3	-	7	7.7			0	0	8	92						250,449
		2	-	6	-	5	7.9				0	8	92						133,840	*
11		2	-	5	-	6	4.2				0	4	96						153,509
		3	-	2	-	8	3.7				0	4	96						135,012	*
10		2	-	4	-	7	1.9				0	2	98						204,747	*
9		2	-	3	-	8	0.8					1	99						139,357	*
8		1	-	5	-	7	0.3					0	100						87,631	*
7		1	-	4	-	8	0.1					0	100						50,963	*
6		1	-	3	-	9	0.0					0	100						27,623	*
1	-5						Out						100						22,903	*
0		0	-	0	-	13	Out											100	1,140

Total:							63.2	%	6	13	19	26	37					0	8,994,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

39	13	-	0	-	0	99	1
37	12	-	1	-	0	96	4
36	12	-	0	-	1	97	3
35	11	-	2	-	0	93	7	0
34	11	-	1	-	1	89	11	0
33	10	-	3	-	0	83	16	1
32	10	-	2	-	1	74	24	2	0	0
31	10	-	1	-	2	63	33	5	0	0
30	9	-	3	-	1	50	42	8	0	0
29	9	-	2	-	2	35	51	13	1	0		0
28	9	-	1	-	3	21	56	18	4	1	0	0
27	8	-	3	-	2	10	57	21	10	2	0	0
26	8	-	2	-	3	4	50	21	21	4	0	0
25	7	-	4	-	2	1	38	16	36	8	2	0	0
24	7	-	3	-	3	0	25	8	48	12	7	1	0	0
23	7	-	2	-	4	0	11	2	49	14	20	3	0	0
	6	-	5	-	2	0	15	2	52	10	18	2	0	0
22	6	-	4	-	3		6	0	42	8	36	5	2	0	0
	7	-	1	-	5		4	0	38	8	39	7	3	0	0
21	6	-	3	-	4		2	0	26	3	50	8	11	1	0	0	0
20	6	-	2	-	5		0	0	11	0	48	7	29	3	1	0	0
	5	-	5	-	3		0		15	0	50	5	26	2	1	0	0
19	5	-	4	-	4		0		5	0	39	3	44	4	4	1	0
	6	-	1	-	6		0		5	0	36	3	46	5	4	1	0
18	5	-	3	-	5		0		1	0	24	1	54	5	9	6	1
	4	-	6	-	3		0		2	0	25	1	53	4	8	6	1
17	4	-	5	-	4				0	0	14	0	53	2	11	15	4
	5	-	2	-	6				0		12	0	52	3	13	16	4
16	4	-	4	-	5				0		6	0	45	1	11	24	12
	5	-	1	-	7				0		5	0	43	1	11	26	14
15	4	-	3	-	6				0		2	0	33	0	8	31	26
	3	-	6	-	4				0		2	0	34	0	6	29	28
14	3	-	5	-	5				0		1		23	0	4	28	44
	4	-	2	-	7						1		21	0	5	31	42
13	3	-	4	-	6						0		14	0	2	25	59
	4	-	1	-	8				0		0		13	0	2	24	61
12	3	-	3	-	7				0		0		8	0	1	19	73
	2	-	6	-	5						0		8	0	1	16	76
11	2	-	5	-	6						0		4	0	0	12	84
10	2	-	4	-	7						0		2		0	7	91
9	2	-	3	-	8								1		0	4	95
8	1	-	5	-	7								0		0	2	98
7	1	-	4	-	8								0			1	99
6	1	-	3	-	9								0			0	100
5	1	-	2	-	10											0	100
4	0	-	4	-	9											0	100
3	0	-	3	-	10											0	100
2	0	-	2	-	11											0	100
1	0	-	1	-	12												100
0	0	-	0	-	13																				100

Total:						1	5	2	11	2	17	2	24	1	4	11	21								0