"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ABC vs Mogi Mirim-4.1+0.4+9.1
-0.2-0.0+0.4
Portuguesa vs Macaé-1.9+1.5+2.7
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Fortaleza-1.6+1.1+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Guarani vs Remo-1.6+1.1+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Salgueiro vs Juventude+0.9-0.1-2.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa+7.8-3.9-13.3
+0.3-0.2-0.5
River-PI vs Juventude+0.9-0.1-2.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Macaé vs Juventude+0.3+0.2-1.0
Juventude vs Guarani-0.3+0.7-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mogi Mirim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
39-48In1005,679*
3812-2-2In10003,058*
3711-4-1In1006,172*
3611-3-2In100011,990*
3511-2-3In100023,200*
3410-4-2In100040,565*
3310-3-3In99170,348*
3210-2-4In9820115,467*
319-4-3In9730183,320*
309-3-4In9460280,231*
298-5-3In90100408,186*
288-4-4In83170573,096*
278-3-5In732610780,198*
267-5-4In613630585,935
8-2-6In603730430,365*
257-4-5In454870879,217
6-7-3In464760395,011*
247-3-6100.0%30551510876,045
6-6-4100.031551400665,781*
236-5-5100.0175526201,077,615
7-2-7100.017552620708,736*
226-4-699.974641701,325,708
5-7-499.98464060669,154*
216-3-799.4231511611,109,572
5-6-599.5231511511,035,195*
205-5-697.4116513031,354,962
6-2-897.501751292848,479*
195-4-792.107414481,401,517
4-7-592.50741447782,005*
185-3-882.6022753171,004,436
4-6-682.5022753181,067,775*
174-5-768.6011553311,400,196*
5-2-969.61155430480,641*
164-4-853.10746471,028,812
3-7-653.1074647605,501*
154-3-938.5033662640,199
3-6-737.4033563716,907*
143-5-824.8012475664,998
4-2-1025.5012575406,709*
133-4-915.4001585805,611*
123-3-108.70991574,539*
112-5-94.60595387,572*
102-4-102.20298246,693*
92-3-110.9199147,489*
81-5-100.4010081,529*
71-4-110.1010042,057*
61-3-120.1010019,734*
50-5-110.001008,285*
1-4Out1004,314*
00-0-16Out1003,356
Total:78.8%1620212221026,984,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
ABC vs Mogi Mirim+0.5-0.0-1.1
Guarani vs Remo+0.1-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Fortaleza+0.1-0.1-0.2
Salgueiro vs Juventude-0.1-0.0+0.2
Portuguesa vs Macaé+0.1-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa-0.8+0.5+1.2
River-PI vs Juventude-0.1-0.0+0.2
Macaé vs Juventude+0.0-0.1+0.1
Juventude vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
44-48100
4314-1-1973
4213-3-0100
4113-2-11000
4013-1-21000
3912-3-1991
3812-2-29820
3711-4-1982
3611-3-29640
3511-2-39270
3410-4-288120
3310-3-3821810
3210-2-47325200
319-4-36235300
309-3-44846600
298-5-333569100
288-4-4196313400
278-3-59641610100
267-5-43571621200
257-4-514511375200
247-3-603055087100
6-6-403145077000
236-5-50171537192000
7-2-7017154819200
226-4-6704643643000
216-3-720311495111000
5-6-520311504110000
205-5-61160503271100
6-2-80170513261100
195-4-7070411432420
4-7-5070411432320
185-3-8020270532772
4-6-6020270532772
174-5-7011505318157
164-4-807046062317
154-3-903035042533
143-5-80124022251
133-4-90015011767
123-3-1009001180
112-5-9050789
102-4-10020494
92-3-1110297
81-5-100199
71-4-110099
61-3-1200100
50-5-1100100
40-4-12100
30-3-130100
1-2100
00-0-16100
Total:313217220121126120