Macaé Playoff Chances 2016 50/50Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 88.6% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Portuguesa vs Macaé | -5.8*-0.0+5.8 | | -0.3-0.0+0.4 | | Guarani vs Remo | -1.5+0.3+1.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Guarani vs Fortaleza | -1.5+0.4+1.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | ABC vs Mogi Mirim | +0.6+0.2-0.7 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Salgueiro vs Juventude | +0.5+0.1-0.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/29 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Macaé vs Juventude | +4.8-0.6-4.3 | | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | | Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa | +0.9+0.5-1.3 | | | | Juventude vs Guarani | +0.7+0.4-0.9 | | | | River-PI vs Juventude | +0.5+0.1-0.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Macaé finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | -51 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 11,462 | * | 39 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 9,238 | * | 38 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 15,592 | * | 37 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 25,251 | * | 36 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 40,117 | * | 35 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 61,018 | * | 34 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 89,621 | * | 33 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 127,029 | * | 32 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 173,733 | * | 31 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | 229,078 | * | 30 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | 170,230 | | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 3 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | 124,093 | * | 29 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | In | 86 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 363,367 | * | 28 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | In | 77 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 293,388 | | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 3 | In | 80 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | 143,184 | * | 27 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | In | 64 | 34 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 255,413 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 4 | In | 71 | 28 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 250,913 | * | 26 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | In | 54 | 41 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 357,390 | | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 7 | In | 52 | 43 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 209,906 | * | 25 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | In | 36 | 52 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | 390,129 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 4 | In | 42 | 49 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | 228,528 | * | 24 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 100.0 | % | 26 | 55 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 317,598 | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 100.0 | | 22 | 55 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 332,998 | * | 23 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 100.0 | | 12 | 50 | 34 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 418,304 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 100.0 | | 13 | 50 | 34 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 245,771 | * | 22 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | 4 | 36 | 48 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | 390,120 | | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | 6 | 41 | 44 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | 262,783 | * | 21 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.1 | | 2 | 25 | 53 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | 318,281 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 98.7 | | 1 | 22 | 52 | 24 | 1 | | | | | | 304,403 | * | 20 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 95.9 | | 0 | 11 | 48 | 38 | 4 | | | | | | 357,877 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 96.0 | | 0 | 11 | 48 | 36 | 4 | | | | | | 214,807 | * | 19 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 88.0 | | 0 | 3 | 33 | 52 | 12 | | | | | | 292,875 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 90.6 | | 0 | 5 | 37 | 49 | 9 | | | | | | 214,888 | * | 18 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 79.2 | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 56 | 21 | | | | | | 261,255 | * | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 75.5 | | | 1 | 19 | 56 | 25 | | | | | | 174,636 | * | 17 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 62.0 | | | 0 | 10 | 52 | 38 | | | | | | 224,026 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 10 | 63.8 | | | 0 | 11 | 53 | 36 | | | | | | 135,548 | * | 16 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | 45.2 | | | 0 | 4 | 41 | 55 | | | | | | 163,082 | | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 48.9 | | | 0 | 5 | 44 | 51 | | | | | | 123,530 | * | 15 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 32.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 31 | 68 | | | | | | 218,118 | * | 14 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 20.4 | | | | 0 | 20 | 80 | | | | | | 160,091 | * | 13 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | 12.0 | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | | | | | | 111,797 | * | 12 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 6.4 | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | | | | | | 74,748 | * | 11 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 3.1 | | | | | 3 | 97 | | | | | | 47,088 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | 1.4 | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | | | | 28,451 | * | 9 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.5 | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | | | | 15,951 | * | 8 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 100 | | | | | | 8,596 | * | 7 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 100 | | | | | | 4,171 | * | 1 | -6 | | Out | | | | | 100 | | | | | | 3,129 | * | 0 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1,118 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 88.6 | % | 32 | 23 | 19 | 15 | 11 | | | | | 0 | 8,994,720 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Portuguesa vs Macaé | +0.8+0.1-0.8 | | Guarani vs Fortaleza | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Guarani vs Remo | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | ABC vs Mogi Mirim | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Salgueiro vs Juventude | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/29 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Macaé vs Juventude | -0.8+0.1+0.7 | | River-PI vs Juventude | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Juventude vs Guarani | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | -51 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 41 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 36 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 35 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 86 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 69 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 57 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 44 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 29 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 17 | 62 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 8 | 56 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 7 | 64 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 2 | 51 | 17 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0 | 38 | 11 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 51 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 49 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 49 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 49 | 10 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | | 4 | 0 | 36 | 6 | 42 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 5 | | 6 | 0 | 41 | 4 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | | 2 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 51 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | | 1 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 51 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 48 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 49 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 56 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | | | | 0 | | 10 | 0 | 52 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 6 | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 16 | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 31 | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | 20 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 48 | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | | | | | | 0 | | 12 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 64 | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 77 | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 86 | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 0 | 6 | 92 | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 0 | 3 | 96 | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 2 | 98 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 1 | 99 | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | | | | | | | 1 | -3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 10 | 21 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 |
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