How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Salgueiro vs Juventude-3.5+0.4+7.8
-0.2+0.0+0.4
Portuguesa vs Macaé-1.6+1.2+2.1
Guarani vs Fortaleza-1.4+0.9+2.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Guarani vs Remo-1.4+0.9+2.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim+0.9-0.1-2.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Guarani+6.2-3.4-10.3
+0.3-0.2-0.5
Macaé vs Juventude-4.1+0.9+8.5
-0.2+0.0+0.5
River-PI vs Juventude-3.5+0.4+7.8
-0.2+0.0+0.4
Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa-0.1+0.7-0.6
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Juventude finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
39-51In10011,262*
3812-2-3In10008,238*
3711-4-2In100015,274*
3611-3-3In100027,543*
3511-2-4In100047,515*
3410-4-3In100079,005*
3310-3-4In991127,939*
329-5-3In9820196,524*
319-4-4In9730294,072*
309-3-5In9460424,395*
298-5-4In90100584,631*
288-4-5In831700782,728*
278-3-6In712810542,384
7-6-4In752410467,601*
267-5-5In613620771,725
8-2-7In603830480,377*
257-4-6In444970973,525
6-7-4In484660527,906*
247-3-7100.0%28561510836,655
6-6-5100.032551300900,769*
236-5-6100.0175526201,207,192
7-2-8100.017552620727,502*
226-4-799.974541701,282,545
5-7-599.98483960793,445*
215-6-699.4231501511,050,622
6-3-899.3231511611,095,196*
205-5-797.2016503031,327,355
6-2-997.001650313461,679
4-8-598.011952272339,682*
195-4-891.407404591,210,259
4-7-692.40742448822,856*
184-6-781.402265319939,202
5-3-981.702275318926,128*
174-5-866.9011452331,020,066
5-2-1068.201155332620,699*
164-4-951.1074449810,770
3-7-751.7074548569,269*
153-6-835.4033365563,477
4-3-1036.6033463546,358*
143-5-923.3012277852,300*
133-4-1014.0001486620,719*
122-6-97.60892431,859*
112-5-103.90496283,133*
102-4-111.80298174,524*
92-3-120.7199101,633*
81-5-110.3010054,936*
71-4-120.1010027,100*
61-3-130.0010012,532*
1-5Out1007,698*
00-0-17Out1003,356
Total:82.4%2122211918026,984,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Salgueiro vs Juventude+0.5-0.0-1.1
Guarani vs Remo+0.1-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Fortaleza+0.1-0.1-0.2
ABC vs Mogi Mirim-0.1-0.0+0.2
Portuguesa vs Macaé+0.1-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Juventude vs Guarani-0.7+0.5+1.2
Macaé vs Juventude+0.6-0.1-1.2
River-PI vs Juventude+0.5-0.0-1.1
Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
42-51100
4113-2-21000
4012-4-11000
3912-3-2991
3812-2-39910
3711-4-29820
3611-3-39630
3511-2-49460
3410-4-389100
3310-3-4831610
329-5-37424200
319-4-46234300
309-3-54846600
298-5-43357910
288-4-51964134000
278-3-69641610100
267-5-535815222000
257-4-614510385200
247-3-702855187100
6-6-503245167000
236-5-60171546202000
7-2-8017154719200
226-4-7704543743000
5-7-5804733633000
215-6-620311504120000
6-3-82031149511100
205-5-700160503281100
6-2-900170513261100
195-4-8070401432420
4-7-6070421432320
184-6-7020260532782
5-3-9020270522772
174-5-80101405218167
164-4-907044172417
3-7-707045062319
153-6-80333042536
4-3-100334052732
143-5-90122022351
133-4-100014011867
122-6-908001379
112-5-10040888
102-4-11020494
92-3-1210297
81-5-1100199
71-4-120099
61-3-1300100
50-5-120100
40-4-130100
1-3100
00-0-17100
Total:516319219118125100