| Week of 5/22 |
| Portuguesa vs MacaéIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 87.992.596.7 | | 2.52.21.8 | |
| Juventude | 80.983.784.6 | | | |
| Guarani | 78.181.282.1 | | | |
| Mogi Mirim | 76.980.381.5 | | 3.23.13.1 | |
| Portuguesa | 76.262.455.1 | | 3.33.84.0 | |
|
| Guarani vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 90.391.692.2 | | 2.32.22.2 | |
| Juventude | 81.183.484.5 | | 3.02.92.8 | |
| Guarani | 85.875.871.0 | | 2.83.33.5 | |
| Mogi Mirim | 77.279.981.2 | | 3.23.13.0 | |
| Portuguesa | 65.769.371.1 | | 3.63.53.5 | |
|
| Guarani vs RemoHomeDrawAway | |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 90.391.692.2 | | 2.32.22.2 | |
| Juventude | 81.183.484.5 | | 3.02.92.8 | |
| Guarani | 85.775.971.0 | | 2.83.33.5 | |
| Mogi Mirim | 77.279.981.2 | | 3.23.13.0 | |
| Portuguesa | 65.769.371.1 | | 3.63.53.5 | |
|
| ABC vs Mogi MirimHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 91.5*91.190.0 | | 2.22.32.4 | |
| Juventude | 83.482.480.3 | | 2.92.93.0 | |
| Guarani | 80.979.777.4 | | 3.13.13.2 | |
| Mogi Mirim | 74.779.287.9 | | 3.33.12.7 | |
| Portuguesa | 69.567.764.3 | | 3.53.63.7 | |
|
| Salgueiro vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway | |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 91.591.090.2 | | 2.22.32.4 | |
| Juventude | 78.982.890.3 | | 3.12.92.5 | |
| Guarani | 80.879.777.7 | | 3.13.13.2 | |
| Mogi Mirim | 79.778.776.7 | | 3.13.13.2 | |
| Portuguesa | 69.167.765.1 | | 3.53.63.7 | |
|
| Week of 5/29 |
| Mogi Mirim vs PortuguesaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 91.291.490.4 | | | |
| Juventude | 82.383.181.9 | | | |
| Guarani | 79.780.679.2 | | | |
| Mogi Mirim | 86.674.965.5 | | 2.83.33.6 | |
| Portuguesa | 60.270.083.1 | | 3.83.53.0 | |
|
| Juventude vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 91.091.390.8 | | | |
| Juventude | 88.679.172.2 | | 2.63.13.4 | |
| Guarani | 74.581.490.5 | | 3.43.12.6 | |
| Mogi Mirim | 78.579.578.7 | | | |
| Portuguesa | 67.468.767.8 | | | |
|
| Macaé vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 94.689.285.2 | | 2.02.42.7 | |
| Juventude | 78.483.391.0 | | 3.22.92.4 | |
| Guarani | 80.080.179.1 | | | |
| Mogi Mirim | 79.179.077.8 | | | |
| Portuguesa | 68.068.366.9 | | | |
|
| River-PI vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway | |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Macaé | 91.591.090.2 | | 2.22.32.4 | |
| Juventude | 78.982.890.3 | | 3.12.92.5 | |
| Guarani | 80.879.777.8 | | 3.13.13.2 | |
| Mogi Mirim | 79.778.776.7 | | 3.13.13.2 | |
| Portuguesa | 69.167.765.1 | | 3.53.63.7 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.