How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs River-PI+12.4-2.8-10.2
+0.6-0.1-0.5
Guarani vs Fortaleza-8.7-3.1+11.0
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Guarani vs Remo+1.5+0.4-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim-1.8+0.4+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Salgueiro vs Juventude-1.6+0.3+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
ASA vs Confiança-0.5+1.2-0.4
ABC vs Salgueiro-0.5+0.8-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Confiança vs Fortaleza-10.6-2.6+12.6
-0.5-0.1+0.6
River-PI vs Juventude-1.6+0.4+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Remo vs ASA-0.3+1.0-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
40-45In1001,693*
3912-3-0In1000664*
3812-2-1In10001,665
3712-1-2In9913,181*
3611-3-1In98206,215*
3511-2-2In98211,959*
3410-4-1In955020,020*
3310-3-2In928033,742*
3210-2-3In86140054,734*
319-4-2In78211081,935*
309-3-3In683020121,162*
299-2-4In554060171,703*
288-4-3100.0%40471210230,979*
278-3-4100.0265021200303,253*
267-5-399.7154632600201,070
8-2-599.7134535700179,863*
257-4-498.8635431510328,279
8-1-698.6633441610132,331*
247-3-595.0219452950344,617
6-6-395.4221452840198,749*
236-5-486.60937401310350,879
7-2-685.40835421410259,691*
226-4-569.50322452640460,011
5-7-368.30221452840203,767*
216-3-645.90093741121402,112
5-6-447.00193741121296,264*
205-5-525.8032346253420,772
6-2-724.4022247263282,419*
195-4-611.1011041408459,612
4-7-410.6011040419224,809*
185-3-73.604285018344,545
4-6-53.804285019297,673*
174-5-61.101165132351,053
5-2-81.001155133225,698*
164-4-70.20084448329,590
3-7-50.20074449170,237*
154-3-80.0033463215,393
3-6-60.0033463199,601*
143-5-70.0012376201,259
4-2-90.0012376128,014*
133-4-80.0001585249,598*
123-3-9Out0892180,750*
112-5-8Out0595124,202*
102-4-9Out029881,090*
92-3-10Out19950,173*
81-5-9Out010028,422*
71-4-10Out010015,331*
61-3-11Out01007,557*
1-5Out1005,265*
00-0-15Out1001,119
Total:44.3%710131517192008,994,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Fortaleza vs River-PI-1.0+0.2+0.8
Guarani vs Fortaleza+0.7+0.2-0.9
ABC vs Mogi Mirim+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Remo-0.1-0.0+0.1
Salgueiro vs Juventude+0.1-0.0-0.1
ASA vs Confiança+0.0-0.1+0.0
ABC vs Salgueiro+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Confiança vs Fortaleza+0.8+0.2-1.0
River-PI vs Juventude+0.1-0.0-0.1
Remo vs ASA+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
42-45100
4113-2-0991
4013-1-1991
3912-3-09900
3812-2-19810
3712-1-29811
3611-3-196220
3511-2-29432
3410-4-1905500
3310-3-2848800
3210-2-3751114000
319-4-2641421010
309-3-3501830020
299-2-43420391600
288-4-3202045212010
278-3-41016465210200
267-5-3312379320600
8-2-5310388340700
257-4-415231242115010
247-3-50291043329050
6-6-30291241428040
236-5-400273074001310
7-2-600263064201410
226-4-50021484412640
5-7-30021384412840
216-3-600045343411210
5-6-40013633441121
205-5-50012176462530
6-2-70002175462630
195-4-600165394090
4-7-4001653941100
185-3-700122549211
4-6-500122549221
174-5-60011245375
5-2-80011246374
164-4-70005334913
154-3-8002215325
3-6-601195228
143-5-7000104743
133-4-80043659
123-3-9022573
112-5-8001684
102-4-90991
92-3-100595
81-5-9298
71-4-10199
61-3-110100
50-5-100100
1-4100
00-0-15100
Total:4382112131161614100