Fortaleza Playoff Chances 2016

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

40	-45						In		100										3,828	*
39		12	-	3	-	0	In		100	0									622	*
38		12	-	2	-	1	In		100	0									1,790
37		12	-	1	-	2	In		100	0									3,913	*
36		11	-	3	-	1	In		99	1									7,900	*
35		11	-	2	-	2	In		97	3	0								17,044	*
34		10	-	4	-	1	In		95	5	0								31,053	*
33		10	-	3	-	2	In		91	9	0								55,988	*
32		10	-	2	-	3	In		85	15	0	0							98,689	*
31		9	-	4	-	2	In		76	23	1	0							157,323	*
30		9	-	3	-	3	100.0	%	65	32	3	0	0						252,204	*
29		9	-	2	-	4	100.0		51	41	7	0	0						378,987	*
28		8	-	4	-	3	100.0		36	48	14	1	0						544,488	*
27		8	-	3	-	4	99.9		22	49	25	3	0	0					758,772	*
26		7	-	5	-	3	99.5		12	43	36	9	0	0					509,710
		8	-	2	-	5	99.5		11	42	38	9	0	0					492,792	*
25		7	-	4	-	4	97.9		4	30	45	19	2	0					901,247
		8	-	1	-	6	97.8		4	29	45	20	2	0					368,304	*
24		7	-	3	-	5	92.7		1	15	43	34	7	0	0				1,011,879
		6	-	6	-	3	92.7		1	15	43	33	7	0	0				544,142	*
23		6	-	5	-	4	80.7		0	6	31	44	18	2	0				1,023,763
		7	-	2	-	6	80.2		0	5	30	45	18	2	0				790,702	*
22		6	-	4	-	5	60.9		0	1	16	43	33	6	0				1,417,548
		5	-	7	-	3	59.6		0	1	15	43	34	6	0				619,284	*
21		6	-	3	-	6	37.1		0	0	6	31	45	17	1				1,292,972
		5	-	6	-	4	37.1		0	0	6	31	45	17	1				904,709	*
20		5	-	5	-	5	18.5			0	2	17	46	32	4				1,339,254
		6	-	2	-	7	17.5			0	1	16	46	32	4				920,263	*
19		5	-	4	-	6	7.1			0	0	7	36	45	12				1,509,439
		4	-	7	-	4	6.7			0	0	6	35	46	12				722,531	*
18		5	-	3	-	7	2.1			0	0	2	22	52	24				1,150,128
		4	-	6	-	5	2.1				0	2	22	51	24				963,021	*
17		4	-	5	-	6	0.5				0	1	12	48	39				1,156,073
		5	-	2	-	8	0.5				0	0	11	49	40				748,762	*
16		4	-	4	-	7	0.1				0	0	5	40	55				1,084,178
		3	-	7	-	5	0.1				0	0	5	39	56				557,313	*
15		4	-	3	-	8	0.0					0	2	29	69				704,214
		3	-	6	-	6	0.0					0	2	28	70				650,939	*
14		3	-	5	-	7	0.0					0	1	19	81				649,268
		4	-	2	-	9	0.0					0	1	19	81				410,072	*
13		3	-	4	-	8	0.0					0	0	11	89				787,395	*
12		3	-	3	-	9	Out						0	6	94				557,515	*
11		2	-	5	-	8	Out						0	3	97				369,978	*
10		2	-	4	-	9	Out						0	1	99				232,494	*
9		2	-	3	-	10	Out							1	99				137,255	*
8		1	-	5	-	9	Out							0	100				74,384	*
7		1	-	4	-	10	Out							0	100				37,924	*
6		1	-	3	-	11	Out							0	100				17,691	*
1	-5						Out								100				11,057	*
0		0	-	0	-	15	Out											100	3,359

Total:							37.5	%	5	8	11	14	18	21	24			0	26,984,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

40	-45						100
39		12	-	3	-	0	100	0	0
38		12	-	2	-	1	99	0	0
37		12	-	1	-	2	99	1	0
36		11	-	3	-	1	98	1	1
35		11	-	2	-	2	96	1	3		0
34		10	-	4	-	1	92	3	5		0
33		10	-	3	-	2	87	4	9		0
32		10	-	2	-	3	79	6	15	0	0		0
31		9	-	4	-	2	68	9	23	0	1		0
30		9	-	3	-	3	54	11	32	0	3		0		0
29		9	-	2	-	4	38	13	41	0	7		0		0
28		8	-	4	-	3	23	13	47	1	14	0	1		0
27		8	-	3	-	4	11	11	47	2	25	0	3		0	0
26		7	-	5	-	3	4	8	38	5	36	0	9		0	0
		8	-	2	-	5	4	7	38	4	38	0	9		0	0
25		7	-	4	-	4	1	4	23	7	44	0	19	0	2	0
24		7	-	3	-	5	0	1	9	6	41	1	34	0	7	0	0
		6	-	6	-	3	0	1	9	7	41	2	33	0	7	0	0
23		6	-	5	-	4	0	0	2	4	27	4	44	0	18	2	0
		7	-	2	-	6	0	0	2	3	27	3	45	0	18	2	0
22		6	-	4	-	5		0	0	1	11	5	43	1	33	6	0
		5	-	7	-	3		0	0	1	11	4	42	1	34	6	0
21		6	-	3	-	6		0	0	0	3	3	29	2	45	17	1	0
		5	-	6	-	4		0	0	0	3	3	29	3	45	17	1
20		5	-	5	-	5			0	0	0	1	13	4	45	32	5	0
		6	-	2	-	7			0	0	0	1	13	3	46	32	5	0
19		5	-	4	-	6				0	0	0	4	3	35	45	13	0
		4	-	7	-	4				0	0	0	4	3	34	46	13	0
18		5	-	3	-	7				0	0	0	1	1	20	50	26	1
		4	-	6	-	5					0	0	1	1	20	50	27	2
17		4	-	5	-	6						0	0	0	9	42	42	6
		5	-	2	-	8						0	0	0	9	43	42	5
16		4	-	4	-	7						0	0	0	3	29	52	15
		3	-	7	-	5						0	0	0	3	28	52	16
15		4	-	3	-	8							0	0	1	17	54	29
		3	-	6	-	6							0	0	1	15	52	32
14		3	-	5	-	7								0	0	7	45	47
13		3	-	4	-	8								0	0	3	33	64
12		3	-	3	-	9									0	1	22	77
11		2	-	5	-	8									0	0	13	87
10		2	-	4	-	9										0	7	93
9		2	-	3	-	10										0	4	96
8		1	-	5	-	9										0	2	98
7		1	-	4	-	10											1	99
6		1	-	3	-	11											0	100
5		0	-	5	-	10											0	100
4		0	-	4	-	11											0	100
1	-3																	100
0		0	-	0	-	15																				100

Total:							3	1	7	1	10	1	13	1	17	18	16	11								0