How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa vs Macaé-9.2-2.8+11.3
-6.4-2.2+8.2
+4.2+0.8-4.8
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Juventude vs Ypiranga-RS-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Boa vs Tombense-MG-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Guarani vs Guaratinguetá-0.3+0.7-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Mogi Mirim-0.3+0.7-0.2
-0.2+0.6-0.2
ASA vs Confiança*+0.0-0.1+0.1
América-RN vs ABC+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé vs Boa+11.3-2.8-9.2
+8.2-2.2-6.4
-4.9+0.8+4.3
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Ypiranga-RS vs Botafogo-SP-0.2+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.2
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Tombense-MG vs Guarani-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Guaratinguetá vs Juventude-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.2
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Macaé finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSérieChance will finish regular season at seedSérie
TPW-L-EplayoffsB12345678910DCount
44-54InYes100No3,347*
4313-1-4InYes1000No2,353*
4213-2-3InYes1000No4,219*
4113-3-2InYes1000No7,325*
4012-2-4InYes991No12,474*
3912-3-3In100.0%9820No20,519*
3811-2-5In100.09730No32,331*
3711-3-4In100.09550No48,978*
3611-4-3In99.990100No72,158*
3510-3-5In99.4841610No101,808*
3410-4-4In98.5752320No139,906*
3310-5-3100.0%95.96333400No186,651*
329-4-5100.090.64942910No239,373*
319-5-499.980.53347172000No298,895*
308-4-699.664.5194529600No171,730
9-6-399.664.8194629600No190,519*
298-5-598.143.98354015200No424,522*
288-6-492.723.63214128710No295,331
7-4-792.923.13214228700No189,302*
277-5-678.28.318303919300No274,400
8-7-379.58.608314018300No258,914*
267-6-553.91.90215373411100No360,647
8-8-254.11.8021538341110No212,378*
257-7-426.70.2004224026600No336,762
6-5-725.20.204214027600No257,207*
246-6-67.90.0017284020300No321,636
7-8-38.20.0018294019300No278,231*
236-7-51.5No0112353613100.0%359,851
5-5-81.3No0112353713100.0221,880*
226-8-40.2No003204029700.0294,978
5-6-70.1No003184031700.0254,848*
215-7-60.0No01728422020.5275,461
6-9-30.0No01730421920.4226,877*
205-8-50.0No00215403583.2270,606
4-6-8OutNo0214403683.8173,131*
195-9-4OutNo00629461811.7197,162
4-7-7OutNo00528472015.8181,657*
184-8-6OutNo00216483432.8311,871*
174-9-5OutNo008415155.9247,255*
164-10-4OutNo03316675.5189,704*
153-9-6OutNo01217888.4139,166*
143-10-5OutNo0128795.397,807*
133-11-4OutNo079398.466,617*
122-10-6OutNo049699.542,596*
112-11-5OutNo29899.925,906*
102-12-4OutNo199100.015,237*
91-11-6OutNo0100Yes8,387*
81-12-5OutNo0100Yes4,149*
71-13-4OutNo0100Yes2,038*
0-6OutNo100Yes2,420*
Total:40.0%20.0%1010101010101010101010.0%8,351,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Lottery seed
Portuguesa vs Macaé+1.3+0.4-1.6
Juventude vs Ypiranga-RS+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa vs Tombense-MG+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Guaratinguetá+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Mogi Mirim+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/28100.0*Lottery seed
Macaé vs Boa-1.6+0.4+1.3
Ypiranga-RS vs Botafogo-SP+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tombense-MG vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guaratinguetá vs Juventude+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E1234567891011121314151617181920
46-54100
4514-1-31000
4414-2-2991
4313-1-49910
4213-2-39910
4113-3-29820
4012-2-49631
3912-3-3945200
3811-2-5898300
3711-3-48312500
3611-4-37317900
3510-3-5602415010
3410-4-44530221200
3310-5-330333044000
329-4-5163233990100
319-5-4726311616120000
308-4-621721242456000
298-5-508102627131412000
288-6-40331820212357100
7-4-70321917252266100
277-5-6010862422171651000
8-7-300088232614164000
267-6-50021141324241551000
257-7-40000441920271872000
6-5-700421916262093000
246-6-6001075172724134100
7-8-3001077212822103000
236-7-5001151626261661000
5-5-8001151525271772000
226-8-400014132428208200
5-6-7000029212824123000
215-7-600002819282513410
6-9-3000031022292311300
205-8-50000271929261330
195-9-400028213225102
4-7-70016183129132
184-8-6000282335267
174-9-500211303818
164-10-40004204333
153-9-6001103850
143-10-50042966
133-11-40022079
122-10-6001287
112-11-50793
102-12-40496
91-11-6298
81-12-5199
71-13-40100
61-14-30100
0-5100
Total:55555555555555555555