How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Cuiabá-MT vs Remo+11.3-2.7-9.3
+8.2-2.2-6.5
-4.8+0.8+4.3
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Salgueiro vs Botafogo-PB-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
ASA vs Confiança-0.2+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
América-RN vs ABC-0.2+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Fortaleza vs River-PI-0.3+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Guarani vs Guaratinguetá+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Mogi Mirim+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB vs Cuiabá-MT-9.2-2.8+11.3
-6.4-2.3+8.2
+4.2+0.8-4.8
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Remo vs ASA-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
River-PI vs América-RN-0.3+0.7-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2
ABC vs Salgueiro-0.2+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Confiança vs Fortaleza-0.3+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Macaé vs Boa+0.1-0.2+0.1
Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Tombense-MG vs Guarani+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cuiabá-MT finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSérieChance will finish regular season at seedSérie
TPW-L-EplayoffsB12345678910DCount
45-54InYes100No2,156*
4414-2-2InYes1000No1,256*
4313-1-4InYes1000No2,254*
4213-2-3InYes1000No4,239*
4113-3-2InYes1000No7,419*
4012-2-4InYes991No12,433*
3912-3-3InYes982No20,536*
3811-2-5In100.0%9730No32,384*
3711-3-4In99.99460No48,758*
3611-4-3In99.8901000No71,691*
3510-3-5In99.4841610No101,691*
3410-4-4In98.4752420No139,336*
3310-5-3100.0%95.96333400No186,036*
329-4-5100.090.64942910No239,709*
319-5-499.980.6334717200No299,852*
308-4-699.764.8194629600No186,010*
9-6-399.664.8194629600No175,457*
298-5-598.144.19363915200No426,130*
288-6-492.823.53214128710No294,877
7-4-792.922.83204228700No189,668*
277-5-678.38.318303919300No274,464
8-7-379.58.708313918300No259,583*
267-6-553.91.90215373411100No360,080
8-8-254.41.70215383411100No211,518*
257-7-426.90.2004224026600No337,536
6-5-725.20.2004214028600No257,528*
246-6-67.80.0017284020300No320,602
7-8-38.10.0018304019300No276,901*
236-7-51.5No0112353613100.0%360,078
5-5-81.3No011235371310No221,996*
226-8-40.2No003204129700.0295,799
5-6-70.1No003184031700.0254,672*
215-7-60.0No01729422020.5274,738
6-9-30.0No01730421920.3228,447*
205-8-5OutNo0215403583.3270,979
4-6-8OutNo0214403683.8172,634*
195-9-4OutNo00629461811.7197,421
4-7-7OutNo00528472015.8182,030*
184-8-6OutNo0216483432.8311,355*
174-9-5OutNo008415155.8247,280*
164-10-4OutNo03316675.4189,207*
153-9-6OutNo01217988.4139,074*
143-10-5OutNo00128795.498,575*
133-11-4OutNo079398.365,987*
122-10-6OutNo049699.442,544*
112-11-5OutNo029899.926,248*
102-12-4OutNo199100.015,239*
91-11-6OutNo0100100.08,308*
81-12-5OutNo0100Yes4,229*
0-7OutNo100Yes4,576*
Total:40.0%20.0%1010101010101010101010.0%8,351,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Lottery seed
Cuiabá-MT vs Remo-1.6+0.4+1.3
Salgueiro vs Botafogo-PB+0.0-0.1+0.0
ASA vs Confiança+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs River-PI+0.0-0.1+0.0
América-RN vs ABC+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/28100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo-PB vs Cuiabá-MT+1.3+0.4-1.6
Remo vs ASA+0.0-0.1+0.0
River-PI vs América-RN+0.0-0.1+0.0
ABC vs Salgueiro+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confiança vs Fortaleza+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E1234567891011121314151617181920
48-54100
4715-1-2991
4615-2-11000
4514-1-3100
4414-2-210000
4313-1-410000
4213-2-39910
4113-3-29820
4012-2-49631
3912-3-39452
3811-2-589830
3711-3-48312600
3611-4-373179000
3510-3-5602315010
3410-4-44530221200
3310-5-330333044000
329-4-5163333990100
319-5-472731171612000
308-4-621721252456000
298-5-508102627131412000
288-6-403318192323561000
277-5-6108624221716510000
8-7-3000882326141640000
267-6-50021141324241551000
257-7-40000441920271772000
6-5-7000421916262093000
246-6-60010751727241341000
7-8-3001077212822103100
236-7-5001151526271771000
226-8-4000141325281982000
5-6-70000310212823113000
215-7-600002819292513400
6-9-3000031022292311300
205-8-5000271929261330
195-9-400017203127122
184-8-600282335267
174-9-500212303818
164-10-40004204233
153-9-60001103850
143-10-50042966
133-11-4021979
122-10-6011287
112-11-50793
102-12-40496
91-11-60298
81-12-5199
71-13-4199
61-14-30100
50-13-50100
0-4100
Total:55555555555555555555