Cuiabá-MT Playoff Chances 2016 50/50Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 40% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 5/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | Cuiabá-MT vs Remo | +11.3-2.7-9.3 | | +8.2-2.2-6.5 | | -4.8+0.8+4.3 | | +0.8-0.2-0.7 | | Salgueiro vs Botafogo-PB | -0.3+0.7-0.3 | | -0.2+0.6-0.2 | | *+0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | ASA vs Confiança | -0.2+0.7-0.3 | | -0.2+0.6-0.2 | | | | | | América-RN vs ABC | -0.2+0.7-0.3 | | -0.2+0.5-0.2 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs River-PI | -0.3+0.6-0.2 | | -0.2+0.5-0.2 | | | | | | Guarani vs Guaratinguetá | | | | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Botafogo-SP vs Mogi Mirim | | | | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 5/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | Botafogo-PB vs Cuiabá-MT | -9.2-2.8+11.3 | | -6.4-2.3+8.2 | | +4.2+0.8-4.8 | | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | | Remo vs ASA | -0.3+0.7-0.3 | | -0.2+0.6-0.2 | | | | | | River-PI vs América-RN | -0.3+0.7-0.2 | | -0.2+0.5-0.2 | | | | | | ABC vs Salgueiro | -0.2+0.7-0.3 | | -0.2+0.6-0.2 | | | | | | Confiança vs Fortaleza | -0.3+0.6-0.2 | | -0.2+0.5-0.2 | | | | | | Macaé vs Boa | | | | | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | | | | Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa | | | | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Tombense-MG vs Guarani | | | | | +0.0-0.1*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Cuiabá-MT finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Série | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Série | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | D | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | -54 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,156 | * | 44 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,256 | * | 43 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,254 | * | 42 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 4,239 | * | 41 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 7,419 | * | 40 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 12,433 | * | 39 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | No | 20,536 | * | 38 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | 100.0 | % | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 32,384 | * | 37 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 48,758 | * | 36 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 99.8 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 71,691 | * | 35 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | 99.4 | | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 101,691 | * | 34 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | 98.4 | | 75 | 24 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 139,336 | * | 33 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 95.9 | | 63 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 186,036 | * | 32 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | 90.6 | | 49 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 239,709 | * | 31 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 80.6 | | 33 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 299,852 | * | 30 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | 64.8 | | 19 | 46 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 186,010 | * | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.6 | | 64.8 | | 19 | 46 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 175,457 | * | 29 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 98.1 | | 44.1 | | 9 | 36 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 426,130 | * | 28 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 92.8 | | 23.5 | | 3 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 294,877 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 92.9 | | 22.8 | | 3 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 189,668 | * | 27 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 78.3 | | 8.3 | | 1 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 274,464 | | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 79.5 | | 8.7 | | 0 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 259,583 | * | 26 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 53.9 | | 1.9 | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | No | 360,080 | | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 54.4 | | 1.7 | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | No | 211,518 | * | 25 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 26.9 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | No | 337,536 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 25.2 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | No | 257,528 | * | 24 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 7.8 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 320,602 | | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 8.1 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 276,901 | * | 23 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 1.5 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 360,078 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 1.3 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 221,996 | * | 22 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 0.2 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | | 295,799 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | | 254,672 | * | 21 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 2 | 0.5 | | 274,738 | | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 0.3 | | 228,447 | * | 20 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 3.3 | | 270,979 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 36 | 8 | 3.8 | | 172,634 | * | 19 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 46 | 18 | 11.7 | | 197,421 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 47 | 20 | 15.8 | | 182,030 | * | 18 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 48 | 34 | 32.8 | | 311,355 | * | 17 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 51 | 55.8 | | 247,280 | * | 16 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 31 | 66 | 75.4 | | 189,207 | * | 15 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 88.4 | | 139,074 | * | 14 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 87 | 95.4 | | 98,575 | * | 13 | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 98.3 | | 65,987 | * | 12 | | 2 | - | 10 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 99.4 | | 42,544 | * | 11 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 99.9 | | 26,248 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 12 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 15,239 | * | 9 | | 1 | - | 11 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | | 8,308 | * | 8 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,229 | * | 0 | -7 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 4,576 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 40.0 | % | 20.0 | % | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10.0 | % | 8,351,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 5/21 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Cuiabá-MT vs Remo | -1.6+0.4+1.3 | | Salgueiro vs Botafogo-PB | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | ASA vs Confiança | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Fortaleza vs River-PI | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | América-RN vs ABC | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 5/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Botafogo-PB vs Cuiabá-MT | +1.3+0.4-1.6 | | Remo vs ASA | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | River-PI vs América-RN | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | ABC vs Salgueiro | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Confiança vs Fortaleza | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | - | E | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | -54 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 41 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 96 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 94 | 5 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 89 | 8 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 83 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 36 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 73 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 35 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 60 | 23 | 15 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 45 | 30 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 30 | 33 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 16 | 33 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 7 | 27 | 31 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 28 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 27 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 6 | | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 26 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 5 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 25 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 7 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 24 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 23 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 5 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 22 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 7 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 19 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 18 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 26 | 7 | 17 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 16 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 33 | 15 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 50 | 14 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 66 | 13 | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 12 | | 2 | - | 10 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 87 | 11 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 10 | | 2 | - | 12 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 9 | | 1 | - | 11 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 8 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 7 | | 1 | - | 13 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 6 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 5 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 0 | -4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
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