How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Cuiabá-MT vs Remo+11.2-2.8-9.3
+8.1-2.3-6.5
-4.8+0.8+4.3
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Fortaleza vs River-PI-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Salgueiro vs Botafogo-PB-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
ASA vs Confiança-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
América-RN vs ABC-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Mogi Mirim*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Juventude vs Ypiranga-RS+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Macaé+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa vs Tombense-MG+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Guarani vs Guaratinguetá+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB vs Cuiabá-MT-9.1-2.6+11.4
-6.4-2.2+8.3
+4.2+0.7-4.9
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Confiança vs Fortaleza-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Salgueiro-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Remo vs ASA-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
River-PI vs América-RN-0.2+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guaratinguetá vs Juventude*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Ypiranga-RS vs Botafogo-SP+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tombense-MG vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macaé vs Boa+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cuiabá-MT finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSérieChance will finish regular season at seedSérie
TPW-L-EplayoffsB12345678910DCount
46-54InYes100No4,493*
4514-1-3InYes1000No1,681*
4414-2-2InYes1000No3,534*
4313-1-4InYes1000No6,591*
4213-2-3InYes1000No12,574*
4113-3-2InYes1000No21,848*
4012-2-4In100.0%9910No36,705*
3912-3-3In100.09820No60,100*
3811-2-5In100.09730No94,384*
3711-3-4In99.99460No142,947*
3611-4-3In99.8901000No210,204*
3510-3-5In99.4841610No297,501*
3410-4-4In98.4752420No409,009*
3310-5-3100.0%95.96333400No545,942*
329-4-5100.090.64942910No698,772*
319-5-499.980.6334717200No875,733*
308-4-699.664.6194629600No1,060,000*
298-5-598.144.08364015200No1,241,641*
288-6-492.823.332141287100No1,413,960*
277-5-678.38.308303919300No805,190
8-7-379.58.608323918300No759,820*
267-6-553.91.90215373411100No1,051,433
8-8-254.31.70215383411100No619,064*
257-7-426.80.2004224026600No986,733
6-5-725.30.2004214027600No751,589*
246-6-67.90.0017284020300No937,372
7-8-38.10.0018294019300No810,170*
236-7-51.50.000112353613100.0%1,052,034
5-5-81.3No0112353713100.0649,885*
226-8-40.2No003204129700.0863,049
5-6-70.1No003194030700.0744,443*
215-7-60.0No01729422020.5804,623
6-9-30.0No01730421920.4664,344*
205-8-50.0No00215403583.3790,983
4-6-80.0No00214403683.8505,612*
195-9-4OutNo00629461811.8574,117
4-7-7OutNo00528472015.8531,997*
184-8-6OutNo00216483432.8911,870*
174-9-5OutNo008415155.9725,197*
164-10-4OutNo003316675.6552,963*
153-9-6OutNo01207888.5406,453*
143-10-5OutNo00128795.3287,070*
133-11-4OutNo079398.4193,647*
122-10-6OutNo049699.5124,729*
112-11-5OutNo029899.975,919*
102-12-4OutNo199100.044,068*
91-11-6OutNo0100100.024,045*
81-12-5OutNo0100Yes12,345*
71-13-4OutNo0100Yes5,776*
0-6OutNo100Yes7,201*
Total:40.0%20.0%1010101010101010101010.0%24,411,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Lottery seed
Cuiabá-MT vs Remo-1.6+0.4+1.4
Fortaleza vs River-PI+0.0-0.1+0.0
ASA vs Confiança+0.0-0.1+0.0
Salgueiro vs Botafogo-PB+0.0-0.1+0.0
América-RN vs ABC+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/28100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo-PB vs Cuiabá-MT+1.3+0.4-1.7
ABC vs Salgueiro+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confiança vs Fortaleza+0.0-0.1+0.0
Remo vs ASA+0.0-0.1+0.0
River-PI vs América-RN+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E1234567891011121314151617181920
47-54100
4615-2-11000
4514-1-310000
4414-2-29900
4313-1-49910
4213-2-39910
4113-3-29820
4012-2-496310
3912-3-394520
3811-2-5898300
3711-3-48312600
3611-4-3731710000
3510-3-5602415010
3410-4-44530221200
3310-5-330332944000
329-4-5163233990100
319-5-472631171612000
308-4-621721242456000
298-5-50810262713141200
288-6-403318192323561000
277-5-6000862422171651000
8-7-300088232614164000
267-6-50021141324241551000
257-7-40000441920271772000
6-5-7000421916262093000
246-6-60010751727241351000
7-8-3001077212822103100
236-7-50001151526261761000
226-8-40000141325281982000
5-6-70000310212823113000
215-7-600002920292412300
205-8-50000271929261330
195-9-400017203127122
184-8-6000282335267
174-9-5000212303818
164-10-40004204333
153-9-6001103850
143-10-50042966
133-11-40022079
122-10-6001287
112-11-500793
102-12-40496
91-11-60298
81-12-5199
71-13-40100
61-14-30100
50-13-50100
40-14-4100
30-15-3199
0-2100
Total:55555555555555555555