How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
ASA vs Confiança-9.2-2.8+11.4
-6.4-2.3+8.2
+4.2+0.8-4.8
-0.7-0.2+0.8
América-RN vs ABC-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Fortaleza vs River-PI-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Salgueiro vs Botafogo-PB-0.2+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Cuiabá-MT vs Remo-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Boa vs Tombense-MG*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Guarani vs Guaratinguetá*+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Confiança vs Fortaleza+11.4-2.7-9.3
+8.2-2.2-6.4
-4.8+0.8+4.3
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Botafogo-PB vs Cuiabá-MT-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Remo vs ASA-0.2+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
ABC vs Salgueiro-0.2+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
River-PI vs América-RN-0.3+0.7-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Guaratinguetá vs Juventude*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Ypiranga-RS vs Botafogo-SP*+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Confiança finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSérieChance will finish regular season at seedSérie
TPW-L-EplayoffsB12345678910DCount
45-54InYes100No2,150*
4414-2-2InYes1000No1,251*
4313-1-4InYes1000No2,287*
4213-2-3InYes1000No4,305*
4113-3-2InYes1000No7,541*
4012-2-4InYes991No12,584*
3912-3-3InYes982No20,850*
3811-2-5In100.0%9730No32,105*
3711-3-4In99.99460No48,729*
3611-4-3In99.890100No71,875*
3510-3-5In99.4841610No101,617*
3410-4-4In98.4752420No139,484*
3310-5-3100.0%95.96333400No185,839*
329-4-5100.090.64942910No239,840*
319-5-499.980.6334717200No300,157*
308-4-699.664.7194629600No190,958*
9-6-399.664.61946296000No172,032
298-5-598.143.99353915200No270,663
9-7-298.244.3836401420No154,725*
288-6-492.823.43214128710No333,976*
7-4-792.722.932042287100No149,604
277-5-678.38.408304019300No274,722
8-7-379.68.618314018300No258,953*
267-6-553.91.90215373411100No360,029
8-8-254.41.7021538341110No211,870*
257-7-426.80.2004224027600No336,005
6-5-725.30.2004214028600No257,016*
246-6-67.70.001728402030No376,858*
7-8-38.30.0018304019300No220,403
236-7-51.50.000113353613100.0%360,551
5-5-81.4No0112353713100.0221,161*
226-8-40.2No003204129700.0295,612
5-6-70.1No003184030700.0254,897*
215-7-60.0No01729422020.5276,544
6-9-30.0No01729421920.4228,423*
205-8-50.0No00215403683.5444,090*
195-9-4OutNo00629461811.6196,629
4-7-7OutNo00528472015.8182,442*
184-8-6OutNo0216483432.8312,760*
174-9-5OutNo008415155.8247,475*
164-10-4OutNo03316675.5189,258*
153-9-6OutNo01207988.6139,324*
143-10-5OutNo00138795.397,285*
133-11-4OutNo079398.466,159*
122-10-6OutNo049699.542,530*
112-11-5OutNo29899.925,958*
102-12-4OutNo199100.015,132*
91-11-6OutNo0100100.08,189*
81-12-5OutNo0100Yes4,180*
0-7OutNo100Yes4,493*
Total:40.0%20.0%1010101010101010101010.0%8,351,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Lottery seed
ASA vs Confiança+1.3+0.4-1.6
América-RN vs ABC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs River-PI+0.0-0.1+0.0
Salgueiro vs Botafogo-PB+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiabá-MT vs Remo+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/28100.0*Lottery seed
Confiança vs Fortaleza-1.6+0.4+1.3
Botafogo-PB vs Cuiabá-MT+0.0-0.1+0.0
River-PI vs América-RN+0.0-0.1+0.0
ABC vs Salgueiro+0.0-0.1+0.0
Remo vs ASA+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E1234567891011121314151617181920
47-54100
4615-2-11000
4514-1-3100
4414-2-210000
4313-1-49910
4213-2-39910
4113-3-29810
4012-2-49631
3912-3-39352
3811-2-5898300
3711-3-48312600
3611-4-37317900
3510-3-5602315010
3410-4-44529221200
3310-5-330332944000
329-4-5163234990100
319-5-472631171612000
308-4-6217212424560000
298-5-50810262713141200
288-6-40331819232357100
277-5-6000862422171651000
8-7-301088232614164000
267-6-5002114132424165100
8-8-2002114132524155100
257-7-40000441920271772000
6-5-7000421916262093000
246-6-60010751727241341000
7-8-3001077212822103100
236-7-50001151626261761000
5-5-8001151525271772000
226-8-4000131123282192000
215-7-600002819292513410
6-9-3000031022292311300
205-8-50000271929261330
195-9-400017193127122
184-8-6000282335267
174-9-500211303818
164-10-4004204233
153-9-6001103850
143-10-50042966
133-11-4022078
122-10-6011288
112-11-500793
102-12-40496
91-11-60298
81-12-5199
71-13-40100
61-14-30100
50-13-50100
0-4100
Total:55555555555555555555