Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819Avg.ChangeRPI
Brewskis6130-0011In45.2%-0.163275420001.68Brewskis
RoyalDangleBerries4220-0014In8.0-0.1332213107421122110003.2-0.025Royal Dangle Berries
IceAge4220-005In7.6-0.031201110974222110003.4+0.033Ice Age
Squires3210-0113100.0%2.4-0.0151814810117322233210004.8+0.018Squires
ATCJets4220-0010100.0+0.024.7-0.03041108411210002.414ATC Jets
Gunners2211-00-999.5+0.10.01476567899887544219.0+0.1825Gunners
DropthePaw2211-00-199.4-0.1No0003914116347101211721010.8-0.027Drop the Paw
Rangers2211-00-598.9-0.20.2+0.04891011975577542122107.2-0.0711Rangers
FightingSioux2310-00398.7-0.2No0278668111185434653109.0-0.0118Fighting Sioux
Wolfhounds2211-00098.4-0.40.7-0.08911118777665432222106.8+0.0712Wolfhounds
ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy2310-00697.3-0.30.4+0.071011109765666532123217.12Three Fat Guys & One Skinny Guy
ColtonsCrusaders2112-00-796.5+13.3No0258755811119533455319.6+2.6527Coltons Crusaders
Surge4220-001096.5+15.40.7+0.423192013111043.1+1.0914Surge
Trashers2211-00293.5-0.00.7+0.051119151199853335.24Trashers
Haulers2310-00493.0-0.00.0041311131612888616.318Haulers
District52211-00-492.3-0.0No-0.003101313121212108626.6+0.0126District 5
TupsNaturalIce2310-00689.8+0.75.4-0.1221714141211923.5-0.1214Tups Natural Ice
Rippers2310-00389.1-0.0No031211121413977836.518Rippers
MooseKnuckles1102-01-888.5-5.1No-0.0001466423510131164698312.0-2.5613Moose Knuckles
Cougars2310-00588.1+2.40.5+0.0141514151714934.0-0.011Cougars
GoonSquad0400-00085.1-0.7No013444567766766665911.9-0.0529Goon Squad
Chiefs0400-00084.8-0.7No-0.0133334566776556887811.9-0.0529Chiefs
IceTurkeys0301-00-384.5-0.3No0124445677666667761011.9+0.1129Ice Turkeys
ShootinBlanks2310-00384.5+1.20.6-0.01013141516161234.3-0.1018Shootin Blanks
SouthKnights2211-00-284.4+2.10.7+0.01213141316161244.210South Knights
Cashholes0301-00-384.1-0.7No0124444578776667751012.2-0.0629Cashholes
CoopsTroop2211-00482.0-1.90.5-0.091213161517184.4-0.1718Coops Troop
LuckyDawgs0301-00-380.6-0.10.5+0.0269101079111079107.1-0.0129Lucky Dawgs
Ticklefight0301-00-276.1-0.8No0013444335610121110121214.2-0.046Ticklefight
HighWide0301-00-275.2-1.0No001245433469121110121214.3-0.0528High & Wide
PTFlyers0400-00074.1+0.0No015788910121313128.229PT Flyers
MassCapeBulldogs0400-00073.2-0.00.00255681112121212158.3-0.0129Mass Cape Bulldogs
ShowPonyLifestyle0400-00073.1+0.1No0266810109111112158.129Show Pony Lifestyle
VegasFightingIrish004-00-1872.8+0.61.2-0.01011101414142074.7-0.0517Vegas Fighting Irish
BostonianBarberShop0202-00-1172.2-1.0No000012455566791110111714.6-0.0618Bostonian Barber Shop
WoodfordLawBoxers0202-00-568.9+0.0No-0.00245681011111214188.529Woodford Law Boxers
Bruins0400-00062.2+0.1No0146658141717219.329Bruins
HoneyBadgers0301-00-460.8-1.8No00014101411713231616.1-0.0529Honey Badgers
Wolverines0202-00-121.9-20.6No0217817.8-0.6318Wolverines

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/9
Wolverines 2 Surge 7
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Surge+14.8
+0.4
+1.0
TupsNaturalIce+0.8
-0.1
Cougars+2.6
ShootinBlanks+1.5
-0.1
SouthKnights+2.0
CoopsTroop-1.5
-0.2
VegasFightingIrish+0.6
-0.1
Wolverines-20.7
-0.6
ColtonsCrusaders 2 MooseKnuckles 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Gunners+0.2
+0.2
DropthePaw-0.0
Rangers-0.2
Wolfhounds-0.3
+0.1
ColtonsCrusaders+12.5
+2.5
MooseKnuckles-7.0
No
-2.8
GoonSquad-0.2
Chiefs-0.4
IceTurkeys+0.1
Cashholes-0.3
Ticklefight-0.7
HighWide-0.8
BostonianBarberShop-0.6
HoneyBadgers-1.9
HoneyBadgers vs FightingSiouxIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
FightingSioux97.1InIn
11.78.96.4
MooseKnuckles83.485.594.3
12.012.112.0
GoonSquad82.086.188.0
11.911.711.9
Chiefs80.985.988.4
11.911.711.9
IceTurkeys81.085.787.8
12.011.811.9
Cashholes80.685.887.3
12.212.012.2
Ticklefight72.775.779.7
14.314.014.0
HighWide71.474.779.0
14.514.214.2
BostonianBarberShop67.672.976.6
14.714.514.5
HoneyBadgers99.852.323.7
14.017.418.0
ShowPonyLifestyle vs WoodfordLawBoxersHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ShowPonyLifestyle93.376.852.1
6.48.19.8
WoodfordLawBoxers44.773.392.2
10.28.56.8
PTFlyers vs RippersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rippers76.298.7100.0
8.46.44.7
PTFlyers95.476.452.3
6.28.410.0
Bruins59.659.065.4
9.39.49.2
HighWide vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuyHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy94.0InIn
0.00.00.9
9.86.54.5
HighWide98.178.651.5
11.614.817.0
HoneyBadgers55.657.266.7
16.416.315.9
RoyalDangleBerries vs TicklefightHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis42.546.647.6
RoyalDangleBerries15.55.61.1
1.92.74.6
Ticklefight53.679.397.9
16.614.711.6
HighWide77.874.672.7
14.214.414.4
HoneyBadgers66.657.655.7
15.916.316.4
VegasFightingIrish vs SouthKnightsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SouthKnights70.687.797.5
0.00.01.5
5.34.23.1
CoopsTroop79.380.884.9
VegasFightingIrish92.576.352.4
2.40.80.0
3.54.75.9
GoonSquad vs ChiefsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GoonSquad98.287.171.6
9.111.914.5
Chiefs69.289.699.2
15.111.78.7
Cashholes vs IceTurkeysHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
IceTurkeys69.988.198.3
14.711.99.3
Cashholes97.485.570.6
9.512.114.9
TupsNaturalIce vs CoopsTroopHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
TupsNaturalIce99.293.179.7
10.23.90.9
2.43.34.6
SouthKnights87.781.881.8
4.14.34.3
CoopsTroop67.585.395.7
No0.01.2
5.54.43.3
LuckyDawgs vs ATCJetsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis52.146.638.0
1.41.51.7
ATCJets99.9InIn
10.623.738.9
3.22.11.7
LuckyDawgs93.086.266.9
1.10.0No
5.67.08.6
District5 vs HaulersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Haulers84.599.2In
8.26.24.5
District5In99.283.0
4.66.68.6
Rangers vs CougarsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
RangersInIn97.5
0.50.0No
5.26.99.4
Cougars78.688.997.4
0.00.01.0
4.84.13.1
VegasFightingIrish75.4*72.970.2
4.54.74.8
ShootinBlanks vs IceAgeHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis47.646.342.5
IceAge0.75.715.0
4.63.02.2
ShootinBlanks94.185.774.5
1.40.0No
3.54.35.1
VegasFightingIrish69.9*73.275.7
4.84.74.5
Brewskis vs TrashersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis65.845.924.4
1.21.32.0
RoyalDangleBerries5.0*8.211.0
IceAge4.8*7.810.4
ATCJets17.525.431.7
Trashers86.098.7100.0
NoNo1.7
6.75.13.8
Squires vs WolfhoundsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Squires5.20.70.0
2.84.66.8
Wolfhounds96.4InIn
No0.01.4
9.26.54.4
Week of 5/16
Bruins vs MassCapeBulldogsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ATCJets100.0In*100.0
MassCapeBulldogs50.075.396.0
9.98.46.6
Bruins93.856.831.7
7.59.810.9
VegasFightingIrish vs LuckyDawgsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ShootinBlanks82.083.987.1
4.44.34.1
CoopsTroop78.481.185.7
4.64.44.3
LuckyDawgs66.986.193.1
No0.01.1
8.56.95.7
VegasFightingIrish85.676.259.3
2.40.80.0
3.94.65.5
VegasFightingIrish vs LuckyDawgsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ShootinBlanks81.984.087.2
4.44.34.1
CoopsTroop78.580.985.8
4.54.44.3
LuckyDawgs67.085.993.0
No0.01.1
8.56.95.7
VegasFightingIrish85.676.059.3
2.40.80.0
3.94.65.5
Wolverines vs BostonianBarberShopHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Ticklefight78.8*75.973.6
14.014.214.4
HighWide77.8*75.172.6
14.114.314.5
BostonianBarberShop50.273.893.9
16.714.912.5
HoneyBadgers66.257.556.1
15.916.316.4
Wolverines4.3OutOut
7.68.08.0
Rippers vs WoodfordLawBoxersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rippers100.099.276.1
4.76.48.4
WoodfordLawBoxers46.571.790.6
10.28.66.8
Bruins vs TrashersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Trashers85.899.4100.0
No0.01.7
6.85.03.7
PTFlyers70.675.177.4
8.28.18.1
WoodfordLawBoxers66.069.371.7
8.68.58.4
Bruins84.954.241.3
7.89.910.6
Trashers vs ShowPonyLifestyleHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Trashers100.099.385.8
1.70.0No
3.65.07.0
ShowPonyLifestyle58.074.588.0
9.68.36.5
GoonSquad vs CashholesHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GoonSquad98.587.771.1
9.111.914.6
Cashholes70.585.397.5
14.812.29.5
ShootinBlanks vs CougarsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Cougars76.390.299.5
No0.01.0
5.24.12.8
ShootinBlanks98.386.770.1
1.40.0No
3.14.35.5
ColtonsCrusaders vs IceTurkeysHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ColtonsCrusadersInIn92.2
6.78.812.6
IceTurkeys71.685.997.1
14.712.19.2
CoopsTroop vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuyHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy94.0InIn
No0.00.9
9.66.74.6
SouthKnights81.083.188.2
4.44.34.0
CoopsTroop91.984.271.6
1.20.0No
3.64.45.2
VegasFightingIrish70.1*72.975.5
4.84.74.5
Surge vs SouthKnightsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SurgeIn99.892.2
1.50.0No
2.02.94.3
SouthKnights71.6*84.597.3
No0.01.5
5.44.43.0
Chiefs vs RoyalDangleBerriesHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis47.646.642.5
RoyalDangleBerries1.15.715.5
4.62.71.9
Chiefs96.888.272.0
9.211.914.5
MooseKnuckles vs SquiresHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Squires0.00.75.2
6.64.63.0
MooseKnucklesIn92.976.0
8.912.515.0
District5 vs BrewskisHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis24.346.066.0
1.91.41.2
RoyalDangleBerries11.1*8.04.9
IceAge10.5*7.74.7
ATCJets31.825.517.3
2.32.32.5
District5100.098.983.1
5.26.57.9
ATCJets vs TupsNaturalIceHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis39.747.650.1
1.71.61.4
ATCJetsInIn99.9
39.722.910.0
1.82.13.1
TupsNaturalIce82.792.296.3
0.64.010.5
4.33.42.7
ATCJets vs TupsNaturalIceHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis39.747.550.2
1.71.61.4
ATCJetsInIn99.9
39.622.910.0
1.82.13.1
TupsNaturalIce82.792.296.3
0.64.010.5
4.33.42.7
Wolfhounds vs RangersHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rangers97.5InIn
No0.00.5
9.96.84.6
WolfhoundsIn100.096.4
1.40.0No
4.26.39.5
DropthePaw vs FightingSiouxHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DropthePawInIn98.7
7.311.414.3
FightingSioux97.1InIn
12.38.65.8
Gunners vs IceAgeHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewskis47.946.242.3
IceAge0.95.514.9
4.82.92.1
GunnersIn100.098.8
6.59.211.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.