How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
District5 vs Haulers-3.8+0.8In
-2.5-0.5+0.7
ShowPonyLifestyle vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.1-0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
PTFlyers vs Rippers-0.0-0.1+0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Brewskis vs Trashers+0.0-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.3
LuckyDawgs vs ATCJets+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rippers vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.2-0.5-0.4
-0.1+0.2+0.3
Bruins vs Trashers-0.4+0.1+0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Trashers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.1-0.2-0.1
Bruins vs MassCapeBulldogs-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
District5 vs Brewskis+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Haulers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup12345678910111213141516171819Count
620-00InNo045533701,500,928
510-01InNo0134137810432,635
411-00100.0%No0214393112200886,181
00-02InNo01624342492030,858
301-0199.4No005223727810126,907
202-0079.5No01103039182127,935
Total:99.1%No022923131310532103,105,444
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/9100.0*Lottery seed
Wolverines 2 Surge 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
District5 vs Haulers+7.3+1.8-2.1
LuckyDawgs vs ATCJets-0.3+0.2+0.1
ShowPonyLifestyle vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.2+0.0-0.3
HoneyBadgers vs FightingSioux-0.4-0.2+0.1
Brewskis vs Trashers-0.1+0.1+0.3
ShootinBlanks vs IceAge+0.2-0.0-0.1
HighWide vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.2-0.1+0.1
Squires vs Wolfhounds-0.1-0.0+0.2
VegasFightingIrish vs SouthKnights-0.1-0.1+0.1
GoonSquad vs Chiefs+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cashholes vs IceTurkeys+0.0-0.1+0.0
TupsNaturalIce vs CoopsTroop-0.0-0.0+0.1
PTFlyers vs Rippers-0.0-0.1+0.0
Rangers vs Cougars+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/16100.0*Lottery seed
Rippers vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.2-0.1-0.5
District5 vs Brewskis-0.5+0.0+0.1
VegasFightingIrish vs LuckyDawgs+0.3+0.1-0.2
VegasFightingIrish vs LuckyDawgs+0.3+0.1-0.2
ColtonsCrusaders vs IceTurkeys+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bruins vs Trashers-0.1-0.1+0.1
ATCJets vs TupsNaturalIce-0.1+0.0+0.1
ATCJets vs TupsNaturalIce-0.1+0.0+0.1
DropthePaw vs FightingSioux-0.1-0.2+0.1
Gunners vs IceAge+0.2+0.0-0.0
Surge vs SouthKnights-0.0+0.0+0.1
GoonSquad vs Cashholes*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Trashers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chiefs vs RoyalDangleBerries+0.1+0.0-0.0
Wolfhounds vs Rangers+0.0-0.1+0.0
ShootinBlanks vs Cougars+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bruins vs MassCapeBulldogs-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839
620-000001411171918149420000
510-01000151220231912520000
411-0000001361013151413118420000
00-020000237111415141210631000
301-0100141017222014831000
202-00000259121312121110741000
Total:000025899976434444443221111000000000