| Week of 12/17 |
| Ravens 14 Chiefs 34 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | -1.3 | | -0.2 | |
| Chiefs | +5.7 | | +0.4 | |
| Chargers | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Steelers 34 Broncos 27 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | -3.2 | | -0.4 | |
| Chiefs | -2.3 | | +0.1 | |
| Raiders | -0.1 | | | |
|
| Cowboys 16 Jets 19 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | -1.2 | | -0.0 | |
| Chiefs | -1.5 | | -0.0 | |
| Raiders | -0.1 | | -0.0 | |
|
| Raiders 20 Packers 30 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chiefs | *+0.1 | | | |
| Raiders | -0.2 | | -0.3 | |
|
| Chargers 30 Dolphins 14 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Raiders | | | +0.1 | |
| Chargers | | | +0.4 | |
|
| Redskins 35 Bills 25 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Raiders | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Jaguars 17 Falcons 23 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Raiders | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Patriots 33 Titans 16 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | | | -0.0 | |
| Chargers | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Colts 10 Texans 16 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Raiders | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Seahawks 30 Browns 13 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chargers | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Week of 12/24 |
| Jets 26 Patriots 20 (ot) |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | -11.6 | | -0.1 | |
| Chiefs | -4.3 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Ravens 20 Steelers 17 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | +7.5 | | +0.3 | |
| Chiefs | +3.1 | | +0.1 | |
| Chargers | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Broncos 20 Bengals 17 (ot) |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | In | | +1.8 | |
| Chiefs | | | -0.9 | |
|
| Chiefs 17 Browns 13 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | -0.7 | | -0.1 | |
| Chiefs | +1.8 | | +0.2 | |
| Chargers | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Raiders 23 Chargers 20 (ot) |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Raiders | | | +0.4 | |
| Chargers | | | -0.5 | |
|
| Dolphins 12 Colts 18 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Raiders | | | -0.3 | |
| Chargers | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Titans 6 Texans 34 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chargers | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Week of 1/3 |
| Broncos 27 Chargers 20 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | | | +0.6 | |
| Chiefs | | | -0.3 | |
| Chargers | | | -0.2 | |
|
| Dolphins 20 Patriots 10 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | | | +0.7 | |
| Chargers | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Bills 22 Jets 17 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | | | +0.1 | |
| Chiefs | | | +0.1 | |
| Raiders | | | -0.5 | |
|
| Chiefs 23 Raiders 17 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Broncos | | | -0.1 | |
| Chiefs | | | +0.1 | |
| Raiders | | | -0.2 | |
|
| Colts 30 Titans 24 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Raiders | | | -0.3 | |
|
| Bengals 24 Ravens 16 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chargers | | | -0.0 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.