How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Germany 2 Ghana 2 -4.5
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
United States vs Portugal+3.8-3.3-24.0
+0.1-0.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
United States vs Germany+12.2+6.7-8.9
+0.4+0.2-0.3
Portugal vs Ghana+1.3-1.7-1.2

What If

Chances based on how well the United States finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
92-0-091.0%7516721,288,220
71-1-086.45927852,093,000
61-0-172.5383415133,061,916
50-2-081.54339108641,504
40-1-162.5234020171,359,417
30-0-238.79302932299,335
Total:76.5%463113108,743,392
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Germany 2 Ghana 2 +0.1
Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 +0.1
Argentina 1 Iran 0 +0.1
Switzerland 2 France 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
United States vs Portugal-1.9+2.6+8.0
Croatia vs Mexico-0.1-0.3+0.3
Cameroon vs Brazil-0.5-0.4+0.2
Honduras vs Switzerland-0.1-0.1+0.3
Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire-0.1-0.1+0.3
Netherlands vs Chile-0.1+0.2-0.1
Ecuador vs France+0.2-0.1+0.0
Costa Rica vs England+0.1-0.1-0.3
Japan vs Colombia-0.2-0.1+0.1
Nigeria vs Argentina+0.1-0.2-0.0
Belgium vs Russia+0.1-0.2-0.0
Italy vs Uruguay+0.1-0.2+0.1
Korea Republic vs Algeria+0.1-0.1-0.0
Bosnia and Herz vs Iran-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/26100.0*Lottery seed
United States vs Germany-5.5-0.9+2.9
Portugal vs Ghana-0.0+0.2-0.2
Korea Republic vs Belgium+0.0-0.2+0.1
Algeria vs Russia-0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-025242217930
71-1-001614222520920
61-0-100161623231793100
50-2-000210232922103000
40-1-10041221221712741000
30-0-2002715212318103000
Total:44445667891097543211111100000