Russia Playoff Chances GroupStage 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 48.4%
1 points 0-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Belgium vs Russia | -21.2-0.4+21.5 | -0.5-0.0+0.6 | ||
| Korea Republic vs Algeria | -0.3+0.5*-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Algeria vs Russia | -21.3*-0.1+21.4 | -0.5+0.0+0.5 | ||
| Korea Republic vs Belgium | -0.2-0.2+0.3 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Russia finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 89.3 | % | 65 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 360,418 | ||
| 5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 72.8 | 40 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 536,320 | |||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 48.2 | 17 | 31 | 32 | 20 | 721,311 | |||
| 3 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 47.8 | 17 | 31 | 31 | 21 | 197,970 | |||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 23.7 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 44 | 535,291 | |||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 8.8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 68 | 362,130 | |||
| Total: | 48.4 | % | 24 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 2,713,440 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Japan 0 Greece 0 | -0.1 | |
| Germany 2 Ghana 2 | -0.1 | |
| Uruguay 2 England 1 | +0.1 | |
| Argentina 1 Iran 0 | -0.1 | |
| Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | +0.0 | |
| Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Belgium vs Russia | +5.3+2.0-6.8 | |
| Japan vs Colombia | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | |
| Ecuador vs France | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |
| Bosnia and Herz vs Iran | -0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| Honduras vs Switzerland | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| Costa Rica vs England | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |
| Korea Republic vs Algeria | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |
| Nigeria vs Argentina | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Australia vs Spain | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Netherlands vs Chile | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| United States vs Portugal | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Croatia vs Mexico | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Algeria vs Russia | +5.1+1.8-6.4 | |
| Korea Republic vs Belgium | +0.2-0.3+0.1 | |
| Portugal vs Ghana | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 24 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
