Nigeria Playoff Chances GroupStage 50/50Beat Bosnia and Herz 1-0, playoff odds up 2.1 to 47.3% 4 points 1-1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | +21.6 | | +0.6 | | Argentina 1 Iran 0 | *+0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Nigeria vs Argentina | +34.4-8.3-28.2 | | +0.9-0.3-0.7 | | Bosnia and Herz vs Iran | -3.3+6.0-1.1 | | | | | Week of 6/26 | None |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Nigeria finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | | | | | | | | 7 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 81.6 | % | 54 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 989,441 | | 5 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 38.9 | | | 39 | 31 | 30 | 734,616 | | 4 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 19.1 | | | 19 | 31 | 50 | 989,383 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 47.3 | % | 20 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 2,713,440 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | -6.7 | | Japan 0 Greece 0 | -0.1 | | Germany 2 Ghana 2 | -0.1 | | Argentina 1 Iran 0 | +0.1 | | Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | +0.1 | | Uruguay 2 England 1 | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Nigeria vs Argentina | -6.2+1.6+5.1 | | Bosnia and Herz vs Iran | +0.2+0.2-0.4 | | Cameroon vs Brazil | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | | Honduras vs Switzerland | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire | -0.1-0.2+0.3 | | Netherlands vs Chile | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | Costa Rica vs England | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | | Ecuador vs France | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | Korea Republic vs Algeria | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | United States vs Portugal | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Croatia vs Mexico | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | | Japan vs Colombia | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | | Belgium vs Russia | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Algeria vs Russia | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | Portugal vs Ghana | +0.1-0.2+0.0 | | Korea Republic vs Belgium | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What IfNone | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | |
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