"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Japan Playoff Chances GroupStage
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.009 to 24.7%
1 points 0-1-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colombia 2 Côte d'Ivoire 1 | +3.0 | +0.0 | ||
| Japan 0 Greece 0 | +0.8 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Japan vs Colombia | +28.6+11.6-4.9 | +0.8+0.2-0.1 | ||
| Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire | +3.4-0.1-4.4 | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Week of 6/26 | None | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 53.3 | % | 26 | 28 | 22 | 24 | 117,502 | ||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 36.3 | 36 | 30 | 34 | 2,366,486 | ||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 19.8 | 20 | 27 | 53 | 6,259,404 | ||||
| Total: | 24.7 | % | 0 | 24 | 28 | 47 | 8,743,392 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Japan 0 Greece 0 | +1.1 | |
| Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | -0.1 | |
| Colombia 2 Côte d'Ivoire 1 | +0.1 | |
| Germany 2 Ghana 2 | +0.1 | |
| Argentina 1 Iran 0 | -0.1 | |
| Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | -0.0 | |
| Uruguay 2 England 1 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Japan vs Colombia | -9.1-1.4+0.7 | |
| Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire | +0.6+0.3-1.1 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.9+0.2-0.1 | |
| Costa Rica vs England | -0.1+0.2+0.9 | |
| Honduras vs Switzerland | +0.5-0.2-0.5 | |
| United States vs Portugal | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | |
| Korea Republic vs Algeria | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | |
| Bosnia and Herz vs Iran | +0.2+0.0-0.0 | |
| Australia vs Spain | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | |
| Belgium vs Russia | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Algeria vs Russia | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |
| Portugal vs Ghana | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | |
| Korea Republic vs Belgium | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
