Honduras Playoff Chances GroupStage 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 23.7%
0 points 0-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | -20.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Switzerland 2 France 5 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Honduras vs Switzerland | +30.6-13.3-20.8 | +0.8-0.3-0.6 | ||
| Ecuador vs France | -1.3*+0.1+1.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Week of 6/26 | None | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Honduras finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 3 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 54.3 | % | 16 | 38 | 33 | 13 | 989,918 | ||
| 1 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 10.4 | 10 | 30 | 59 | 735,108 | ||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2.9 | 3 | 18 | 79 | 988,414 | ||||
| Total: | 23.7 | % | 6 | 18 | 27 | 50 | 2,713,440 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | +5.4 | |
| Switzerland 2 France 5 | -0.2 | |
| Argentina 1 Iran 0 | -0.1 | |
| Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | -0.1 | |
| Germany 2 Ghana 2 | +0.1 | |
| Japan 0 Greece 0 | -0.1 | |
| Uruguay 2 England 1 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Honduras vs Switzerland | -6.4+2.3+4.7 | |
| Costa Rica vs England | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.3+0.0-0.3 | |
| Australia vs Spain | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | |
| Japan vs Colombia | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | |
| United States vs Portugal | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | |
| Italy vs Uruguay | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | |
| Croatia vs Mexico | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |
| Korea Republic vs Algeria | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Belgium vs Russia | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Ecuador vs France | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Algeria vs Russia | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Korea Republic vs Belgium | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Portugal vs Ghana | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| United States vs Germany | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 3 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 38 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
