Germany Playoff Chances GroupStage
Tied Ghana 2-2, playoff odds down 18.4 to 55.6%
4 points 1-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Germany 2 Ghana 2 | -3.4 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| United States vs Portugal | +2.6-6.6+0.7 | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States vs Germany | -18.9-0.9+8.8 | -0.5-0.1+0.3 | ||
| Portugal vs Ghana | -0.6-1.3+3.6 | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Germany finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 64.4 | % | 36 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 4,428,342 | ||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 54.7 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 15 | 2,367,855 | |||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 36.7 | 6 | 31 | 34 | 29 | 1,947,195 | |||
| Total: | 55.6 | % | 24 | 31 | 28 | 16 | 8,743,392 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Germany 2 Ghana 2 | +3.2 | |
| Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | +0.1 | |
| Argentina 1 Iran 0 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Cameroon vs Brazil | -0.6-0.4+0.1 | |
| Croatia vs Mexico | -0.1-0.2+0.4 | |
| United States vs Portugal | +0.2-0.5+0.0 | |
| Costa Rica vs England | +0.1-0.2-0.5 | |
| Netherlands vs Chile | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | |
| Honduras vs Switzerland | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | |
| Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire | -0.1-0.1+0.3 | |
| Japan vs Colombia | -0.2-0.2+0.1 | |
| Korea Republic vs Algeria | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | |
| Nigeria vs Argentina | +0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
| Belgium vs Russia | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Italy vs Uruguay | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Ecuador vs France | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Bosnia and Herz vs Iran | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| United States vs Germany | +5.4+2.5-3.7 | |
| Portugal vs Ghana | +0.0+0.1-0.2 | |
| Algeria vs Russia | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Korea Republic vs Belgium | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
