France Playoff Chances GroupStage 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 0.01 to 82.3% 6 points 2-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Switzerland 2 France 5 | +19.9 | | +0.5 | | Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | *-0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Ecuador vs France | -21.7+8.7+15.3 | | -0.6+0.2+0.5 | | Honduras vs Switzerland | +0.5-0.6*-0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | Week of 6/26 | None |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the France finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | | | | | | | | 9 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 97.6 | % | 86 | 11 | 2 | | 989,564 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 90.9 | | 68 | 23 | 9 | | 735,043 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 60.5 | | 28 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 988,833 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 82.3 | % | 60 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 2,713,440 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Switzerland 2 France 5 | -5.5 | | Argentina 1 Iran 0 | +0.2 | | Germany 2 Ghana 2 | -0.1 | | Japan 0 Greece 0 | -0.1 | | Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | +0.1 | | Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | +0.1 | | Colombia 2 Côte d'Ivoire 1 | +0.0 | | Italy 0 Costa Rica 1 | +0.0 | | Uruguay 2 England 1 | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Ecuador vs France | +3.7-0.3-3.5 | | Honduras vs Switzerland | +0.2+0.2-0.4 | | Japan vs Colombia | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | | Croatia vs Mexico | -0.1-0.3+0.3 | | Cameroon vs Brazil | -0.2-0.2+0.4 | | Costa Rica vs England | +0.3-0.0-0.2 | | United States vs Portugal | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | Netherlands vs Chile | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | Nigeria vs Argentina | -0.0-0.2+0.2 | | Belgium vs Russia | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | Italy vs Uruguay | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | | Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | Korea Republic vs Algeria | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | United States vs Germany | +0.1-0.3+0.1 | | Korea Republic vs Belgium | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | Algeria vs Russia | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | Portugal vs Ghana | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
What IfNone | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 38 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | 3 | 11 | 20 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 14 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|