"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Ecuador Playoff Chances GroupStage 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 42.4%
3 points 1-0-1
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | +21.0 | +0.5 | ||
| Switzerland 2 France 5 | +0.8 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Ecuador vs France | +29.1-5.3-25.1 | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | ||
| Honduras vs Switzerland | +3.0+6.0-7.5 | |||
| Week of 6/26 | None | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Ecuador finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 71.4 | % | 37 | 34 | 19 | 9 | 988,833 | ||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 37.1 | 37 | 34 | 29 | 735,043 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 17.2 | 17 | 36 | 47 | 989,564 | ||||
| Total: | 42.4 | % | 14 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 2,713,440 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | -6.3 | |
| Switzerland 2 France 5 | +0.1 | |
| Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | +0.1 | |
| Japan 0 Greece 0 | -0.1 | |
| Germany 2 Ghana 2 | -0.0 | |
| Uruguay 2 England 1 | +0.0 | |
| Argentina 1 Iran 0 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Ecuador vs France | -8.0+2.5+6.1 | |
| Honduras vs Switzerland | -0.8+0.2+0.6 | |
| Bosnia and Herz vs Iran | -0.1-0.3+0.3 | |
| Netherlands vs Chile | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.0-0.2+0.2 | |
| Japan vs Colombia | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |
| Italy vs Uruguay | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | |
| Korea Republic vs Algeria | +0.1-0.2+0.0 | |
| Belgium vs Russia | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Costa Rica vs England | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Australia vs Spain | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Portugal vs Ghana | -0.0-0.3+0.2 | |
| Algeria vs Russia | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| Korea Republic vs Belgium | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| United States vs Germany | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
