Belgium Playoff Chances GroupStage
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.05 to 65.5%
3 points 1-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Belgium vs Russia | +6.6-1.7-19.4 | +0.2-0.1-0.5 | ||
| Korea Republic vs Algeria | +1.6-3.1-0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Korea Republic vs Belgium | -17.5*-0.0+8.0 | -0.5-0.0+0.2 | ||
| Algeria vs Russia | -0.3-2.8+1.6 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Belgium finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 79.1 | % | 57 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 2,471,067 | ||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 72.4 | 44 | 28 | 18 | 9 | 2,520,192 | |||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 56.1 | 26 | 30 | 24 | 20 | 1,848,024 | |||
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 64.0 | 30 | 34 | 22 | 14 | 641,071 | |||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 44.3 | 13 | 31 | 26 | 29 | 932,075 | |||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 25.9 | 5 | 21 | 27 | 47 | 330,963 | |||
| Total: | 65.5 | % | 38 | 27 | 20 | 15 | 8,743,392 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Germany 2 Ghana 2 | -0.2 | |
| Nigeria 1 Bosnia and Herz 0 | +0.1 | |
| Argentina 1 Iran 0 | +0.1 | |
| Honduras 1 Ecuador 2 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Belgium vs Russia | -2.9+2.2+6.2 | |
| Croatia vs Mexico | -0.1-0.2+0.3 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | -0.4-0.4+0.1 | |
| Costa Rica vs England | +0.1-0.2-0.4 | |
| Japan vs Colombia | -0.3-0.2+0.1 | |
| Korea Republic vs Algeria | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| Nigeria vs Argentina | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| Honduras vs Switzerland | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |
| Netherlands vs Chile | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | |
| Greece vs Côte d'Ivoire | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |
| Ecuador vs France | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| United States vs Portugal | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Bosnia and Herz vs Iran | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Italy vs Uruguay | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 6/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Korea Republic vs Belgium | +5.6+1.6-3.4 | |
| Algeria vs Russia | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | |
| United States vs Germany | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Portugal vs Ghana | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
