Ontario Wave 2 Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Lost to Kings3 0-1, Beat IceDogs 1-0, Lost to OCHC3 0-1, Lost to SDIA3 0-1, Beat Titans 1-0, playoff odds down 30.8 to 24.4%
6 points 3-3-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wave2 0 OCHC3 1 | -12.1 | -1.6 | ||
| Wave2 0 Kings3 1 | -11.0 | -1.5 | ||
| SDIA3 1 Wave2 0 | -10.0 | -1.3 | ||
| Titans 0 Wave2 1 | +9.2 | +1.2 | ||
| Wave2 1 IceDogs 0 | +8.4 | +1.1 | ||
| Blaze 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | |||
| Riptide02 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | |||
| OCHC3 1 OCHC1 0 | +0.3 | |||
| Riptide03 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | |||
| IceDogs 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| SDIA1 0 Kings3 1 | -0.3 | |||
| Ducks1 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Titans 0 Riptide03 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Riptide02 3 SDIA1 3 | *+0.2 | |||
| Riptide02 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| IceDogs 0 Leafs 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | |||
| ArtWave 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA1 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| SDIA3 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Bears 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings2 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Ducks2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Riptide02 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Bears 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | |||
| Wildcats 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| IceDogs 0 Blaze 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Leafs 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 1 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC2 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC2 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Titans 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings3 8 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.1 | |||
| OCHC3 1 OCHC2 0 | *+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Dragons vs SDIA1 | -0.5+0.4+0.8 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Leafs vs Ducks2 | -1.5-0.3+0.6 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Kings3 vs Riptide02 | +0.4-0.5-1.7 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| OCHC2 vs Wave1 | +1.2+0.6-0.8 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Kings1 vs Blaze | +0.7+0.5-0.7 | |||
| OCHC3 vs Kings2 | +0.3-0.3-1.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Riptide03 vs OCHC1 | -0.2+0.5+0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Bears vs Ducks1 | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Wave2 finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | |||
| 26 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 2 | 30 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 3,830 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 6 | 3,979 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 3 | 26 | 54 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 34,795 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 19 | 55 | 24 | 1 | 2,561 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 10 | 52 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 44,230 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 6 | 46 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 979 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 38 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 191,020 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 51 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 24,810 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 1 | 22 | 52 | 23 | 2 | 244 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 48 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 209,935 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.2 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8,131 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 97.3 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 40 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 588,663 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 94.5 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100,933 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 92.3 | 2 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1,672 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 84.4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 556,947 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 74.6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26,859 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 72.9 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 214 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 57.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,151,167 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 41.7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 223,600 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 34.3 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4,507 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 917,229 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 8.8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 49,636 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 6.0 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 468 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,491,725 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 302,254 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6,389 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 975,894 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 52,780 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 537 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,308,796 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 254,647 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5,236 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 678,091 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33,051 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 3 | 14 | 29 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 256 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 769,283 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 131,238 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 2,089 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 295,900 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 11,470 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | 11 | 28 | 45 | 15 | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 290,560 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 37,664 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 368 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 45 | 23 | 73,935 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 35 | 1,559 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 46 | 63,895 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 7 | 39 | 54 | 4,676 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 28 | 69 | 8,162 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 14 | 86 | 7,511 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 24.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10,954,428 | ||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
