Ontario Wave 1 Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Beat IceDogs 1-0, Beat Kings2 16-1, Lost to Kings3 0-1, playoff odds up 19.9 to 36.1%
4 points 2-2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wave1 16 Kings2 1 | +6.1 | +1.4 | ||
| Wave1 1 IceDogs 0 | +6.0 | +1.3 | ||
| Kings3 1 Wave1 0 | -5.3 | -1.1 | ||
| Wave2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Riptide02 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | |||
| Wave2 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | |||
| Bears 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| IceDogs 0 Blaze 1 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 5 Dragons 1 | -0.2 | |||
| IceDogs 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | |||
| IceDogs 0 Leafs 1 | -0.2 | |||
| ArtWave 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings3 8 Wildcats 0 | -0.1 | |||
| Blaze 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.1 | |||
| Riptide03 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.1 | |||
| SDIA3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.1 | |||
| OCHC2 0 Kings3 1 | -0.1 | |||
| Riptide02 1 Titans 0 | -0.1 | |||
| OCHC2 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.1 | |||
| Riptide02 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | |||
| Titans 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.1 | |||
| SDIA3 1 Wildcats 0 | -0.1 | |||
| SDIA1 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.1 | |||
| Ducks1 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | |||
| Wildcats 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.1 | |||
| SDIA1 0 Kings3 1 | -0.1 | |||
| Ducks2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | |||
| Bears 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | |||
| Titans 0 Riptide03 1 | -0.1 | |||
| Kings2 0 Ducks2 1 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Dragons vs SDIA1 | -0.5+0.6+0.9 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| OCHC2 vs Wave1 | -12.0-4.8+8.1 | -1.3-0.4+0.8 | ||
| Kings3 vs Riptide02 | +0.4-0.5-1.9 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Leafs vs Ducks2 | -1.6-0.4+0.6 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| OCHC3 vs Kings2 | +0.3-0.3-1.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Kings1 vs Blaze | +0.7+0.6-0.8 | |||
| Riptide03 vs OCHC1 | -0.2+0.7+0.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Bears vs Ducks1 | -0.3+0.3+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Wave1 finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | |||
| 28 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 24 | 55 | 19 | 1 | 3,199 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 8 | 42 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 3,019 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 25 | 50 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 22,983 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 2 | 2,035 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 8 | 39 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 31,538 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 2 | 25 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 118,467 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 13 | 62 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 19,427 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 8 | 55 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 147,334 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 5 | 50 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 7,193 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 372,484 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 50 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 81,120 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.9 | 1 | 28 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1,743 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 47 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 410,992 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.4 | 0 | 13 | 44 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27,013 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 97.8 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 773,643 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 95.0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 200,800 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 93.8 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5,666 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 85.3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 754,470 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 76.9 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 58,153 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 60.5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,126,048 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 42.9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 320,686 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 35.8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10,530 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 954,907 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 77,763 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 8.7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1,244 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,180,248 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 346,177 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11,725 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 850,044 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 70,377 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 891,141 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 255,059 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 8,186 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 532,802 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 41,100 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 485,233 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 126,794 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3,602 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 231,127 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 15,284 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 38 | 32 | 8 | 185,972 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 41 | 16 | 41,735 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 46 | 30 | 65,743 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 13 | 45 | 42 | 3,213 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 53 | 47,041 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 3 | 31 | 65 | 7,694 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 11,162 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 7,911 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 99 | 854 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 93 | 7 | 1,747 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 36.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10,954,428 | ||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
