Channel Islands Riptide 03 Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Lost to SDIA3 0-1, Tied Bears 3-3, Lost to Kings3 0-1, Lost to OCHC3 0-1, Beat Titans 1-0, playoff odds down 43 to 15.9%
5 points 2-3-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Riptide03 0 OCHC3 1 | -12.0 | -1.6 | ||
| Riptide03 0 Kings3 1 | -10.7 | -1.4 | ||
| SDIA3 1 Riptide03 0 | -9.8 | -1.3 | ||
| Titans 0 Riptide03 1 | +9.1 | +1.2 | ||
| Bears 3 Riptide03 3 | -1.4 | -0.2 | ||
| Titans 0 Wave2 1 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Riptide02 3 SDIA1 3 | *+0.3 | |||
| IceDogs 0 Leafs 1 | -0.3 | |||
| Wave2 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | |||
| SDIA1 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Ducks1 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.3 | |||
| Riptide02 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | |||
| Bears 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | |||
| Titans 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Blaze 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | |||
| IceDogs 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Ducks2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC2 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 5 Dragons 1 | -0.2 | |||
| IceDogs 0 Blaze 1 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC3 1 OCHC1 0 | +0.2 | |||
| Riptide02 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings3 8 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Leafs 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| ArtWave 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings2 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Wildcats 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Ducks1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| SDIA3 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings3 1 Wave1 0 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Wave2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA1 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 1 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Riptide02 1 Titans 0 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Bears 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | |||
| OCHC2 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.1 | |||
| OCHC3 1 OCHC2 0 | *+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Dragons vs SDIA1 | -0.3+0.3+0.5 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Riptide03 vs OCHC1 | +7.1-3.1-7.4 | +1.1-0.3-1.2 | ||
| Leafs vs Ducks2 | -1.1-0.2+0.4 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Kings3 vs Riptide02 | +0.3-0.4-1.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| OCHC2 vs Wave1 | +0.8+0.5-0.5 | |||
| Kings1 vs Blaze | +0.6+0.3-0.5 | |||
| OCHC3 vs Kings2 | +0.2-0.1-0.9 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Bears vs Ducks1 | -0.3+0.2+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Riptide03 finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | |||
| 25 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 6 | 34 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 5,719 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 11 | 61 | 27 | 1 | 5,839 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 0 | 7 | 54 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 48,311 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 5 | 48 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3,513 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 53 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 57,039 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1,197 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 49 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231,158 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.4 | 0 | 12 | 45 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30,072 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 11 | 41 | 37 | 10 | 255 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 94.6 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240,526 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 93.2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9,312 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 84.8 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 648,539 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 75.2 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 110,062 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 72.9 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,763 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 39.8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 590,811 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 34.5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28,946 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 36.6 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 41 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 254 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,182,301 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 8.7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229,554 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4,842 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 921,426 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 49,707 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 2 | 525 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,466,043 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 298,834 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6,548 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 947,158 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 51,251 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 5 | 21 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 511 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,253,279 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 243,886 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5,008 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 644,530 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 31,262 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 275 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 726,997 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 123,865 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 22 | 3 | 2,013 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 39 | 13 | 278,596 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 42 | 15 | 10,640 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | 13 | 22 | 51 | 15 | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 46 | 26 | 273,611 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 36 | 35,470 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 2 | 15 | 42 | 41 | 374 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 59 | 70,350 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 4 | 30 | 66 | 1,559 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 61,173 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 16 | 84 | 4,411 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 8 | 92 | 7,776 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 7,282 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 15.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 10,954,428 | ||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
