Channel Islands Riptide 03 Playoff Chances 2014-2015Lost to SDIA3 0-1, Tied Bears 3-3, Lost to Kings3 0-1, Lost to OCHC3 0-1, Beat Titans 1-0, playoff odds down 43 to 15.9% 5 points 2-3-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Riptide03 0 OCHC3 1 | -12.0 | | -1.6 | | Riptide03 0 Kings3 1 | -10.7 | | -1.4 | | SDIA3 1 Riptide03 0 | -9.8 | | -1.3 | | Titans 0 Riptide03 1 | +9.1 | | +1.2 | | Bears 3 Riptide03 3 | -1.4 | | -0.2 | | Titans 0 Wave2 1 | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | Riptide02 3 SDIA1 3 | *+0.3 | | | | IceDogs 0 Leafs 1 | -0.3 | | | | Wave2 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | | | | SDIA1 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | Ducks1 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.3 | | | | Riptide02 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | | | | Bears 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | | | | Titans 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | Blaze 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | | | | IceDogs 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.2 | | | | Ducks2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | | | | OCHC2 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA3 5 Dragons 1 | -0.2 | | | | IceDogs 0 Blaze 1 | -0.2 | | | | OCHC3 1 OCHC1 0 | +0.2 | | | | Riptide02 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | | | | Kings3 8 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | | | | Leafs 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | | | ArtWave 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | Kings2 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | | | | Wildcats 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | Ducks1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | SDIA3 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | | | Kings3 1 Wave1 0 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | Wave2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | | | | OCHC1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | | | Kings3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA1 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA3 1 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | | | | Riptide02 1 Titans 0 | -0.1 | | -0.0 | | Bears 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | | | | OCHC2 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.1 | | | | OCHC3 1 OCHC2 0 | *+0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Dragons vs SDIA1 | -0.3+0.3+0.5 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Riptide03 vs OCHC1 | +7.1-3.1-7.4 | | +1.1-0.3-1.2 | | Leafs vs Ducks2 | -1.1-0.2+0.4 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | | Kings3 vs Riptide02 | +0.3-0.4-1.3 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | OCHC2 vs Wave1 | +0.8+0.5-0.5 | | | | Kings1 vs Blaze | +0.6+0.3-0.5 | | | | OCHC3 vs Kings2 | +0.2-0.1-0.9 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Bears vs Ducks1 | -0.3+0.2+0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Riptide03 finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | | 0 | 6 | 34 | 52 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,719 | | 24 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | | | 0 | 11 | 61 | 27 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,839 | | 23 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 54 | 35 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48,311 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | | | 0 | 5 | 48 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,513 | | 22 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 28 | 53 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57,039 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | | | | 0 | 24 | 53 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,197 | | 21 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 19 | 49 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 231,158 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.4 | | | | | 0 | 12 | 45 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30,072 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | | | | 0 | 11 | 41 | 37 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 255 | | 20 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 94.6 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 240,526 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 93.2 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 9,312 | * | 19 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 84.8 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 648,539 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 75.2 | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 110,062 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 72.9 | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 29 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,763 | * | 18 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 39.8 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 590,811 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 34.5 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 28,946 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 36.6 | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 27 | 41 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 254 | * | 17 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 18.2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,182,301 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 8.7 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 229,554 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 7.7 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4,842 | * | 16 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.6 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 921,426 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 49,707 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.6 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 525 | | 15 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1,466,043 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 298,834 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 6,548 | * | 14 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 947,158 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 51,251 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 21 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | 511 | * | 13 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 1,253,279 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 243,886 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | 5,008 | * | 12 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | 644,530 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | | | 31,262 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 36 | 19 | 5 | | | | 275 | | 11 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | | | 726,997 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 3 | | | 123,865 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 22 | 3 | | | 2,013 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 39 | 13 | | | 278,596 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 42 | 15 | | | 10,640 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 22 | 51 | 15 | | | 55 | | 9 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 46 | 26 | | | 273,611 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 36 | | | 35,470 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 42 | 41 | | | 374 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 59 | | | 70,350 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 30 | 66 | | | 1,559 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | | | 61,173 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 84 | | | 4,411 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | | | 7,776 | | 5 | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | | | 7,282 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 15.9 | % | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | | | 10,954,428 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |