Channel Islands Riptide 02 Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Lost to OCHC3 0-1, Beat IceDogs 1-0, Tied SDIA1 3-3, Beat Titans 1-0, playoff odds up 5 to 63.8%
7 points 3-1-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Riptide02 0 OCHC3 1 | -12.1 | -1.6 | ||
| Riptide02 1 Titans 0 | +8.3 | +1.1 | ||
| Riptide02 1 IceDogs 0 | +8.3 | +1.1 | ||
| Riptide02 3 SDIA1 3 | -3.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Bears 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.4 | |||
| Riptide03 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | |||
| Blaze 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | |||
| IceDogs 0 Leafs 1 | -0.3 | |||
| Titans 0 Wave2 1 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Wildcats 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.3 | |||
| Wave2 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | |||
| Ducks1 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC2 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| IceDogs 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Ducks2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Bears 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Kings3 1 Wave1 0 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| ArtWave 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Kings2 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Leafs 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA3 1 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Wave2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC2 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Titans 0 Riptide03 1 | -0.2 | |||
| IceDogs 0 Blaze 1 | -0.2 | |||
| Ducks1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | |||
| SDIA1 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | |||
| OCHC3 1 OCHC1 0 | *+0.2 | |||
| Kings3 8 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Titans 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.1 | |||
| Kings3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.1 | |||
| SDIA3 5 Dragons 1 | *-0.1 | |||
| SDIA1 0 Ducks2 1 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Dragons vs SDIA1 | -0.5+0.5+0.9 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kings3 vs Riptide02 | -3.4+4.7+15.6 | -0.3+0.3+1.2 | ||
| Leafs vs Ducks2 | -1.6-0.2+0.6 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| OCHC2 vs Wave1 | +1.3+0.5-0.9 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||
| OCHC3 vs Kings2 | +0.3-0.2-1.5 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Kings1 vs Blaze | +0.8+0.5-0.8 | |||
| Riptide03 vs OCHC1 | -0.2+0.6+0.1 | |||
| Bears vs Ducks1 | -0.4+0.3+0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Riptide02 finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | |||
| 29 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 30 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 5,799 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 27 | 47 | 21 | 3 | 6,638 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 14 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 56,064 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 4,347 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 70,153 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 15 | 43 | 40 | 2 | 1,690 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 7 | 37 | 50 | 5 | 0 | 270,751 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 5 | 32 | 56 | 7 | 0 | 39,185 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 292,258 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 12 | 63 | 24 | 1 | 12,708 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 7 | 56 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 720,438 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 5 | 52 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 139,391 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 5 | 51 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 2,671 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 675,839 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 52 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 38,738 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,211,201 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 48 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 275,673 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 99.4 | 0 | 14 | 47 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6,758 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 95.7 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 976,303 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 95.1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 63,947 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 94.9 | 5 | 28 | 42 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 818 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 87.5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,369,406 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 80.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 336,212 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 78.9 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9,220 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 44.1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 930,390 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 39.8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 63,755 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 41.9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 854 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,065,977 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 262,781 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 9.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7,240 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 597,620 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 39,584 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 480 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 577,949 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133,566 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3,378 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 256,874 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15,065 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214,060 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 42,627 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 843 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 70,762 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3,160 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 51,564 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 7,774 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 11,510 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 29 | 7,289 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | 2 | 16 | 46 | 37 | 656 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 35 | 58 | 754 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 1,708 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 63.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10,954,428 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
