Bakersfield Dragons Playoff Chances 2014-2015Lost to SDIA3 1-5, Beat Titans 1-0, Beat IceDogs 1-0, playoff odds up 1.6 to 18.2% 4 points 2-2-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | IceDogs 0 Dragons 1 | +6.9 | | +1.5 | | Dragons 1 Titans 0 | +6.2 | | +1.4 | | SDIA3 5 Dragons 1 | -5.4 | | -1.1 | | Bears 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | | | | Blaze 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | | | | Riptide02 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | | | | Wave2 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | | | | OCHC3 1 OCHC1 0 | +0.2 | | | | Riptide03 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | | | | OCHC1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA1 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | | | | Kings2 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | IceDogs 0 Blaze 1 | -0.2 | | | | Riptide02 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | | | | Leafs 1 Titans 0 | -0.1 | | | | ArtWave 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.1 | | | | SDIA3 1 Titans 0 | -0.1 | | | | Kings3 8 Wildcats 0 | -0.1 | | | | Ducks2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | | | | Ducks1 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | | | | Titans 0 Wave2 1 | -0.1 | | | | IceDogs 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.1 | | | | Riptide02 1 Titans 0 | -0.1 | | | | Bears 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | | | | OCHC2 0 Kings3 1 | -0.1 | | | | Wave2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.1 | | | | OCHC2 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.1 | | | | Titans 0 Riptide03 1 | -0.1 | | | | Ducks1 1 Titans 0 | -0.1 | | | | Kings3 1 Wave1 0 | -0.1 | | | | SDIA1 0 Ducks2 1 | *-0.1 | | | | Wildcats 0 Ducks2 1 | *-0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Dragons vs SDIA1 | +5.1-4.3-8.7 | | +0.8-0.5-1.4 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Leafs vs Ducks2 | -1.2-0.3+0.5 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | | Kings3 vs Riptide02 | +0.3-0.4-1.4 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | OCHC2 vs Wave1 | +0.9+0.5-0.6 | | | | Kings1 vs Blaze | +0.5+0.4-0.5 | | | | OCHC3 vs Kings2 | +0.2-0.2-0.8 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Bears vs Ducks1 | -0.4+0.2+0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Riptide03 vs OCHC1 | -0.1+0.4*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Dragons finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 20 | 65 | 15 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,339 | | 27 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 37 | 52 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 235 | | 26 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 13 | 46 | 34 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,715 | * | 25 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,847 | * | 24 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 45 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23,231 | | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 51 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,918 | * | 23 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37,152 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | | | 0 | 7 | 40 | 43 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,893 | * | 22 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | | | 0 | 4 | 32 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118,344 | | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 50 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27,301 | * | 21 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 45 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 165,477 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.0 | | | | | 0 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11,080 | * | 20 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 96.9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 382,101 | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 93.2 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100,344 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 91.5 | | | | | | 2 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,811 | * | 19 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 81.8 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 453,689 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 71.4 | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 35,166 | * | 18 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 56.1 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 812,229 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 38.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 230,900 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 32.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 7,524 | * | 17 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 17.4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 817,236 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 7.6 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 67,643 | * | 16 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 3.1 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,187,329 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.7 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 346,864 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 11,830 | * | 15 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 996,841 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 81,551 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | 1,362 | * | 14 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1,217,515 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 346,534 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 11,342 | * | 13 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 833,016 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | | 64,082 | * | 12 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | 874,363 | | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | 226,429 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 0 | | | 6,529 | * | 11 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 1 | | | 470,685 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 3 | | | 30,808 | * | 10 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 29 | 7 | | | 430,058 | | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 39 | 13 | | | 93,969 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 17 | | | 2,027 | * | 9 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 46 | 26 | | | 171,045 | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 37 | | | 8,426 | * | 8 | | 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 47 | | | 138,678 | | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 59 | | | 23,051 | * | 7 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | | | 37,155 | * | 6 | | 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 86 | | | 26,481 | | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | | | 2,378 | | 5 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | | | 3,488 | | 4 | | 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | | 3,417 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 18.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | | | 10,954,428 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |