California Golden Bears Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50Beat IceDogs 1-0, Lost to SDIA3 0-1, Tied Riptide03 3-3, Lost to OCHC3 0-1, playoff odds down 20.7 to 25.2% 5 points 2-2-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Bears 1 IceDogs 0 | +10.5 | | +1.6 | | Bears 0 SDIA3 1 | -10.2 | | -1.5 | | Bears 0 OCHC3 1 | -10.2 | | -1.5 | | Bears 3 Riptide03 3 | -2.1 | | -0.2 | | Riptide02 3 SDIA1 3 | | | +0.1 | | OCHC3 1 OCHC1 0 | | | +0.0 | | Wave2 0 Kings3 1 | | | *-0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Dragons vs SDIA1 | -0.5+0.3+0.5 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Bears vs Ducks1 | +10.0-3.1-9.6 | | +1.3-0.3-1.2 | | Kings3 vs Riptide02 | +0.9*+0.2-0.9 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Leafs vs Ducks2 | -0.6*+0.2+0.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | OCHC3 vs Kings2 | +0.5+0.3-0.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | OCHC2 vs Wave1 | +0.4+0.4-0.4 | | | | Kings1 vs Blaze | +0.1+0.4-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bears finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 31 | 55 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,283 | | 26 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 5 | 36 | 44 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,219 | | 25 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 2 | 29 | 47 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10,046 | | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 23 | 50 | 23 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 814 | | 24 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 4 | 28 | 47 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13,030 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | | 4 | 26 | 49 | 19 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 313 | | 23 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50,791 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | | 1 | 14 | 41 | 35 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7,570 | * | 22 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58,188 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | | | 1 | 19 | 45 | 27 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,620 | * | 21 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 152,061 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29,519 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.8 | | | | 0 | 5 | 26 | 43 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 552 | | 20 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 95.3 | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 155,256 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 93.8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 8,789 | * | 19 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 85.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 303,317 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 73.6 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 69,311 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 71.2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,706 | * | 18 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 31.6 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 270,850 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 25.6 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 17,677 | * | 17 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 11.6 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 423,939 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 3.9 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 103,359 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 2.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2,886 | * | 16 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 325,267 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 21,893 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 281 | | 15 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 425,438 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 102,918 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 2,856 | * | 14 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 271,207 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 17,790 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 17 | 28 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | | | | 247 | | 13 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | 302,899 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 0 | | | 69,303 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 0 | | | 1,681 | * | 12 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 4 | | | 155,342 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 5 | | | 8,972 | * | 11 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 35 | 12 | | | 151,586 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 41 | 17 | | | 29,341 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 32 | 42 | 17 | | | 567 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 39 | | | 58,334 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 44 | | | 2,510 | * | 9 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 55 | | | 50,367 | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 33 | 62 | | | 7,538 | * | 8 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | | | 12,897 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 17 | 82 | | | 330 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | | | 10,252 | | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 90 | | | 828 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | | | 1,382 | | 5 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | | | 1,358 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 25.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | | | 3,718,480 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |