California Golden Bears Playoff Chances 2014-2015Beat IceDogs 1-0, Lost to SDIA3 0-1, Tied Riptide03 3-3, Lost to OCHC3 0-1, playoff odds down 41.1 to 14.5% 5 points 2-2-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Bears 0 OCHC3 1 | -12.2 | | -1.6 | | Bears 0 SDIA3 1 | -10.9 | | -1.5 | | Bears 1 IceDogs 0 | +8.4 | | +1.1 | | Bears 3 Riptide03 3 | -2.7 | | -0.3 | | Riptide02 3 SDIA1 3 | *+0.4 | | | | Blaze 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | | | | OCHC3 1 OCHC1 0 | +0.3 | | | | Riptide03 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | | | | Titans 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | IceDogs 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.3 | | | | Riptide02 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.3 | | | | Titans 0 Riptide03 1 | -0.3 | | | | Kings3 1 Wave1 0 | -0.3 | | | | IceDogs 0 Leafs 1 | -0.2 | | | | IceDogs 0 Blaze 1 | -0.2 | | | | Ducks1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | | | OCHC1 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | | | Titans 0 Wave2 1 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA3 1 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | | | | Kings3 8 Wildcats 0 | -0.2 | | | | Ducks2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | | | | Wave2 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | SDIA3 5 Dragons 1 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | Riptide02 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | Leafs 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA1 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | Wave2 0 OCHC3 1 | +0.2 | | | | Ducks1 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | | | | Wildcats 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA1 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA3 1 Titans 0 | -0.2 | | | | OCHC2 0 Kings3 1 | -0.2 | | | | Riptide02 1 IceDogs 0 | -0.2 | | | | Kings3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | | | | ArtWave 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | Kings2 0 Ducks2 1 | -0.2 | | | | SDIA3 1 ArtWave 0 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | OCHC2 0 SDIA3 1 | -0.2 | | | | Wave1 16 Kings2 1 | *+0.1 | | | | ArtWave 1 IceDogs 0 | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Dragons vs SDIA1 | -0.3+0.3+0.6 | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Bears vs Ducks1 | +10.1-0.7-5.2 | | +1.4+0.1-0.8 | | Leafs vs Ducks2 | -1.0-0.2+0.4 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | | Kings3 vs Riptide02 | +0.2-0.4-1.1 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | OCHC2 vs Wave1 | +0.7+0.3-0.5 | | | | OCHC3 vs Kings2 | +0.2-0.2-0.8 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Kings1 vs Blaze | +0.5+0.3-0.5 | | | | Riptide03 vs OCHC1 | -0.2+0.4+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bears finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 27 | 49 | 22 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,476 | | 26 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | | 3 | 21 | 49 | 25 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 475 | | 25 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | | 1 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,066 | * | 24 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 61 | 18 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8,091 | * | 23 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | | | 0 | 12 | 57 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 39,313 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | | | 0 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6,048 | * | 22 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | | | 0 | 2 | 33 | 48 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58,032 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | | | | 1 | 31 | 48 | 18 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,548 | * | 21 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.7 | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 184,863 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.2 | | | | | 0 | 13 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37,026 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.7 | | | | | 0 | 10 | 43 | 37 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 720 | * | 20 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 94.3 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 230,992 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 92.5 | | | | | | 2 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 13,767 | * | 19 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 85.4 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 538,070 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 73.5 | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 125,020 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 70.4 | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,171 | * | 18 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 38.8 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 572,318 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 31.9 | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 37,724 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 33.8 | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 26 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 474 | | 17 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 19.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,038,761 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 7.9 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 256,512 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 6.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7,137 | * | 16 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.6 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 920,547 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 63,168 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 30 | 16 | 4 | | | | | | | | | 804 | * | 15 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 1,369,839 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 336,300 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | 9,257 | * | 14 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 987,872 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 65,009 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 18 | 36 | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 806 | * | 13 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 1,237,409 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 283,126 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 6,928 | * | 12 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | 703,001 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | | 40,405 | * | 11 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 1 | | | 756,828 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 2 | | | 147,814 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 38 | 20 | 3 | | | 2,810 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 37 | 12 | | | 317,338 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 42 | 14 | | | 13,862 | * | 9 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 45 | 23 | | | 301,552 | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 31 | | | 44,242 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 17 | 50 | 31 | | | 457 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 55 | | | 82,645 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 35 | 60 | | | 2,024 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | | | 69,375 | | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 76 | | | 5,686 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | | | 9,412 | | 5 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | | | 8,308 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 14.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | | | 10,954,428 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |