Ontario Wave 1 Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Tied Kings3 2-2, playoff odds down 4.4 to 59.6%
16 points 7-4-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kings3 2 Wave1 2 | -2.4 | -0.1 | ||
| SDIA1 5 Wildcats 0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Riptide02 5 Wave2 7 | -0.9 | |||
| OCHC1 2 Leafs 3 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| SDIA1 vs Kings3 | -2.7-0.2+2.8 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Blaze vs Riptide02 | +1.2+1.0-1.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Dragons vs OCHC3 | -1.1-0.3+1.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 2/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| OCHC1 vs Wave1 | -18.9-0.5+18.9 | -0.8-0.1+0.8 | ||
| Kings1 vs Wave2 | +4.2+2.8-4.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | ||
| Kings2 vs SDIA1 | +2.8*-0.2-2.7 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| SDIA1 vs OCHC2 | -2.7-0.3+2.7 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Wave1 finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Count | |||
| 22 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 7 | 88 | 5 | 701,255 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | 61 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 268,265 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 96.7 | 28 | 46 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,098,068 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 94.7 | 20 | 46 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 33,977 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 69.4 | 2 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 536,715 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 74.3 | 4 | 25 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1,423 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 28.4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2,100,832 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 22.5 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 34,375 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 41 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 267,872 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 49 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 700,746 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 59.6 | % | 1 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6,743,528 | |||||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:27 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
