SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holding my newborn
4 a.m.

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wave2 vs SDIA1+12.7-2.3-11.9
+2.2-0.3-2.2
ArtWave vs Riptide02*-0.1+0.1-0.2
Kings3 vs Kings1-0.2+0.1*-0.1
OCHC2 vs Leafs-0.2+0.1*-0.0
IceDogs vs Riptide03*-0.1+0.1-0.2
OCHC3 vs Ducks2-0.1+0.1*-0.1
OCHC1 vs SDIA2-0.1+0.1*-0.1
Wave1 vs SDIA3-0.1+0.1*-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans vs Wave2-9.9+0.3+15.4
-1.8+0.1+2.6
LadyDucks vs Kings1+0.3*+0.1-0.6
Wave1 vs Kings2-0.2+0.2*-0.1
SDIA3 vs Dragons-0.2+0.1*-0.0
Ducks1 vs OCHC1-0.2+0.1*-0.1
IceDogs vs OCHC3-0.1+0.1*-0.1
Riptide02 vs SDIA1*-0.1+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Wave2 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs1234567891011121314151617181920212223Count
28-32In100419*
2711-0-5In991139*
2610-0-6In991621*
2510-1-5In9822,478*
249-1-6In94607,984*
238-1-7In83161022,010*
227-1-8In623261051,746*
217-2-7In344220400042,971
6-1-9In264125810033,360
8-3-5In36411851028,532*
206-2-8In7253423920076,591
7-3-6In11313318510070,146*
5-1-10100.0%418322814410040,471
195-2-999.5031124292193000102,863
6-3-799.916193026134100102,835
7-4-5100.0110243122920044,195*
4-1-1198.801618282615510041,159*
185-3-887.900141324271993000156,125
4-2-1074.400161526261772000104,509
6-4-695.50029212823124100112,531*
3-1-1263.5003112228221131026,672*
174-3-914.80013112127221141000173,920
5-4-733.7000310212722124100165,071*
3-2-114.800141324272092000087,368*
6-5-547.8015152626177200055,462
164-4-80.2000161525261772000197,387
3-3-100.000016162526166100139,648
5-5-61.000151425271982000135,800*
2-2-12Out00392128231231041,368*
153-4-9Out001310212722113100175,121
4-5-7Out00039202723124100158,527
2-3-11Out0014132428198200087,503*
5-6-5Out001615262717610062,189*
143-5-8Out0002820282413410157,081
2-4-10Out003102229221020129,963*
4-6-6Out0016162726166100113,432*
133-6-7Out00031023312391103,644
2-5-9Out00015152931163103,251
4-7-5Out0015152829175039,033
1-4-11Out001412253221545,942*
122-6-8Out0031231371776,613
3-7-6Out00162034301063,911*
1-5-10Out001724422647,434*
112-7-7Out00316423964,629*
1-6-9Out019365440,813*
101-7-8Out03257151,273*
91-8-7Out0128821,546*
81-9-6Out04968,013*
71-10-5Out1992,452*
0-6Out1001,189*
Total:31.0%334444444455555555555543,617,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:27 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)