SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wave1 vs SDIA3+12.0-2.8-12.3
+2.1-0.4-2.3
Titans vs OCHC2*-0.1+0.1-0.3
ArtWave vs Riptide02*-0.1+0.1-0.2
IceDogs vs Riptide03*+0.0+0.1-0.3
Titans vs Bears*-0.1+0.1-0.2
OCHC2 vs Leafs*-0.0+0.1-0.2
Kings3 vs Kings1-0.2+0.1*-0.1
OCHC1 vs SDIA2-0.1+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wave1 vs Kings2+12.0-2.8-12.3
+2.1-0.4-2.3
LadyDucks vs Kings1+0.2*+0.1-0.5
ArtWave vs Ducks2*-0.1+0.1-0.3
SDIA3 vs Dragons-0.2+0.1*-0.1
Bears vs Riptide03-0.2+0.1*-0.0
IceDogs vs OCHC3-0.2+0.1*-0.1
Kings3 vs SDIA2-0.2+0.1*-0.1
Titans vs Wave2-0.2+0.1*-0.0
Ducks1 vs OCHC1-0.2+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Wave1 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs1234567891011121314151617181920212223Count
27-32In100576*
2610-0-6In991666*
2510-1-5In9822,484*
249-1-6In955007,984*
238-1-7In83161021,931*
227-1-8In623261051,947*
217-2-7In36421840064,599*
6-1-9In244125810040,384*
206-2-8100.0%72534239200076,888
7-3-6In12333316410064,408*
5-1-10100.0417322814410046,964*
196-3-799.916193026134100103,513
5-2-999.6031124292193000102,816
7-4-599.91923302210310048,030*
4-1-1199.001618292615510037,352
185-3-887.9001413242720930000156,111
4-2-1074.200161626261772000103,500
6-4-695.60029212823114100112,672*
3-1-1263.10031022282311310026,897*
174-3-915.00013112127211141000174,510
5-4-733.200003102027231241000158,070
3-2-114.90014122427209200087,763*
6-5-548.6001516262717620062,357*
164-4-80.200016152526177200197,660
3-3-100.000161625261661000139,622
5-5-61.100151424271982000134,991*
2-2-12Out002102128231130041,415*
153-4-9Out001310212722113100174,653
4-5-7Out00039202723124100157,867
2-3-11Out001413242820820087,886*
5-6-5Out001615262717610062,158*
143-5-8Out00131021282311300177,325*
2-4-10Out0003102229231020130,355*
4-6-6Out0001616272717610091,836
133-6-7Out00031023312381103,313
2-5-9Out0015162931163103,450*
4-7-5Out0015162828175143,823*
1-4-11Out00210253423641,331*
122-6-8Out00031431361588,396*
3-7-6Out000161934311051,255
1-5-10Out001725412647,671*
112-7-7Out00316423864,284*
1-6-9Out019365440,598*
101-7-8Out03257151,999*
91-8-7Out01128821,888*
81-9-6Out04968,072*
71-10-5Out1992,500*
60-10-6Out199610*
50-11-5Out199140*
0-4Out100420*
Total:31.1%344444444445555555555543,617,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:27 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)