How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
IceDogs vs Riptide03-12.3-1.0+14.4
-2.0-0.1+2.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bears vs Riptide03-12.3-1.0+14.3
-2.0-0.1+2.2
ArtWave vs Ducks2*-0.1+0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Riptide03 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs1234567891011121314151617181920212223Count
29-34In100152*
2811-0-6In98299*
2711-1-5In1000357*
2610-1-6In9911,291*
259-1-7In97303,608*
248-1-8In92809,138*
238-2-7In801920020,194*
227-2-8In5535810015,480
6-1-10In563581022,691*
216-2-9In234027810024,346
7-3-7In324221510021,104
5-1-11In264024810019,698*
206-3-8100.0%623332510200037,091
5-2-10100.0316313015410029,284
7-4-6In11313318510018,476
4-1-12In52031261341013,294*
195-3-999.4021022292311310048,921
6-4-799.8151829261551000036,503
4-2-1198.6016162827165100026,658
7-5-599.517172624157200017,792*
185-4-885.800131122272110310055,171
4-3-1070.90015142427198200048,850
6-5-694.40028192824134100025,772
3-2-1267.50126132124191031025,081*
174-4-912.3003920272313410061,045
5-5-729.90002919272414510044,238
3-3-113.900131122282110300044,513*
6-6-546.301515262718720014,318*
164-5-80.20015142426198200055,140
3-4-100.0001514252718720049,295
5-6-60.9014132427209200030,387*
2-3-120.0000292028241241020,050*
153-5-9Out00013920282312410048,941
4-6-7Out002919272413510036,759
2-4-11Out001412232821920032,572*
5-7-5Out001515252717720012,148*
143-6-8Out001291927241340039,892*
2-5-10Out0029213024112038,838*
4-7-6Out0001515262817610018,467
132-6-9Out01414283217324,479
3-7-7Out0013112431228128,605*
1-5-11Out0029243425612,092*
122-7-8Out0031229381838,318*
112-8-7Out00212394820,202*
101-8-8Out00224739,011*
91-9-7Out010893,689*
81-10-6Out4961,330*
70-10-7Out100356*
60-11-6Out19993*
0-5Out100151*
Total:43.0%666555555544444444433331,205,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs