"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/22100.0*Average seed
Santos 0 São Paulo 1 -0.7
Bahia 1 Atlético-PR 2 -0.2
Cruzeiro 2 Goiás 1 +0.1
Figueirense 2 Vitória 0 -0.1
Flamengo 1 Criciúma 1 +0.0
Sport Recife 2 Fluminense 2 +0.0
Week of 11/29100.0*Average seed
Santos 2 Botafogo 0 +1.1
Flamengo 4 Vitória 0 -0.3
São Paulo 1 Figueirense 1 +0.1
Criciúma 2 Sport Recife 2 +0.0
Chapecoense 1 Cruzeiro 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Average seed
Vitória vs Santos-0.7-0.2+0.8
Grêmio vs Flamengo+0.3+0.0-0.3
Sport Recife vs São Paulo-0.4+0.2+0.2
Palmeiras vs Atlético-PR+0.2-0.1-0.1
Figueirense vs Internacional-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
531-0-0NoNo235423No5,117,147
510-0-1NoNo235423No3,903,437
500-1-0NoNo58393No5,119,736
Total:NoNo82644201No14,140,320
Points
Chance Will Win Championship