"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/22100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Internacional 2 Atlético-MG 1 +26.7
+0.6
Corinthians 1 Grêmio 0 +2.5
-0.1
Sport Recife 2 Fluminense 2 +0.2
Santos 0 São Paulo 1 -0.1
-0.1
Week of 11/29100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Internacional 3 Palmeiras 1 +13.2
+0.3
Atlético-MG 1 Coritiba 2 Yes
+0.1
Fluminense 5 Corinthians 2 +0.4
+0.2
São Paulo 1 Figueirense 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Internacional-0.4-0.1+0.5
Corinthians vs Criciúma-0.1+0.1+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Internacional finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
691-0-0NoYes100No15,249,698
670-0-1NoYes3763No11,718,363
660-1-0NoYes991No15,452,899
Total:NoYes4951No42,420,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship