| Week of 8/11 |
| Lightning 2 RustyBlades 1 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| SilverBullets | -0.1 | | +11.4 | | +0.1 | |
| RustyBlades | -3.0 | | -12.2 | | -0.6 | |
| FlatPennyBarGrille | -15.1 | | +0.8 | | -0.1 | |
| Lightning | +28.0 | | +0.1 | | +0.5 | |
| PWS | -9.7 | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| DudleyAvalanche 5 FlatPennyBarGrille 5 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| SilverBullets | | | +0.7 | | +0.1 | |
| RustyBlades | *+0.1 | | -0.4 | | +0.0 | |
| FlatPennyBarGrille | -8.7 | | No | | -0.2 | |
| Lightning | +9.0 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | |
| PWS | -0.4 | | +0.3 | | +0.0 | |
|
| PWS 1 SilverBullets 6 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| SilverBullets | In | | +19.1 | | +0.3 | |
| RustyBlades | | | -10.7 | | | |
| FlatPennyBarGrille | +2.2 | | No | | +0.1 | |
| Lightning | +6.8 | | No | | +0.1 | |
| PWS | -9.1 | | No | | -0.5 | |
|
| SJCKings 9 CCCP 4 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| PWS | *+0.1 | | | | | |
|
| Week of 8/18 |
| PWS 2 RustyBlades 8 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| RustyBlades | In | | | | +0.8 | |
| FlatPennyBarGrille | In | | | | +0.3 | |
| Lightning | In | | | | +0.2 | |
| PWS | Out | | | | -1.4 | |
|
| SilverBullets 1 FlatPennyBarGrille 3 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| RustyBlades | -11.5 | | | | -0.4 | |
| FlatPennyBarGrille | In | | | | +1.3 | |
| Lightning | -23.3 | | | | -0.5 | |
| PWS | -3.7 | | | | -0.4 | |
|
| Lightning 0 Local1156 1 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| RustyBlades | In | | | | +0.2 | |
| FlatPennyBarGrille | +2.5 | | | | +0.1 | |
| Lightning | -6.4 | | | | -0.4 | |
| PWS | +0.5 | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Week of 8/25 |
| None |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.