| Week of 8/11 |
| BLConstruction 1 SwissTrillium 5 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lux | In | | -10.4 | | -0.1 | |
| IceDogs | | | -1.7 | | +0.0 | |
| SwissTrillium | In | | +19.4 | | +0.8 | |
| TheHawks | +10.4 | | No | | -0.0 | |
| BLConstruction | -33.1 | | No | | -0.7 | |
|
| Lux 4 TheHawks 4 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lux | In | | +2.5 | | +0.2 | |
| IceDogs | | | -6.9 | | +0.0 | |
| SwissTrillium | -2.0 | | +2.8 | | +0.1 | |
| TheHawks | +1.9 | | No | | -0.3 | |
| BLConstruction | -6.4 | | +5.8 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Week of 8/18 |
| SwissTrillium 2 IceDogs 3 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lux | | | +20.2 | | -0.0 | |
| IceDogs | | | +30.3 | | +0.7 | |
| SwissTrillium | | | No | | -0.8 | |
| TheHawks | | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Lux 7 BLConstruction 1 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lux | | | +30.3 | | +0.7 | |
| IceDogs | | | No | | -0.4 | |
| SwissTrillium | | | -5.5 | | -0.3 | |
| TheHawks | | | | | -0.1 | |
|
| TheHooligans 5 Capitals 2 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lux | | | *-0.3 | | | |
|
| StevesPizza 3 TheHawks 2 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lux | | | | | +0.2 | |
| IceDogs | | | | | -0.1 | |
| TheHawks | | | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Week of 8/25 |
| None |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.