| Week of 8/11 |
| GhilaniElectric 5 District5 5 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| YYZ | | | | | +0.1 | |
| GhilaniElectric | In | | | | -0.0 | |
| Shocker | +9.1 | | | | +0.0 | |
| JusttheTip | | | | | +0.1 | |
| District5 | Out | | | | -0.2 | |
|
| Shocker 4 YYZ 7 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Meatballs | | | -2.3 | | -0.1 | |
| YYZ | | | +4.3 | | +0.4 | |
| Saints | | | -1.9 | | -0.2 | |
| GhilaniElectric | +1.1 | | | | | |
| Shocker | -10.0 | | | | -0.2 | |
| JusttheTip | +5.0 | | | | | |
| District5 | +3.9 | | | | | |
|
| Zamboozers 6 JusttheTip 3 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Shocker | +9.1 | | | | +0.1 | |
| JusttheTip | Out | | | | -0.2 | |
| District5 | | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Meatballs 3 Saints 6 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Meatballs | | | -21.0 | | -0.3 | |
| YYZ | | | +10.2 | | -0.1 | |
| Saints | | | +10.8 | | +0.4 | |
|
| Cavemen 3 TheHealthyScratches 1 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| YYZ | | | *-0.1 | | | |
|
| Week of 8/18 |
| Meatballs 1 Shocker 0 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Meatballs | | | Yes | | +0.5 | |
| YYZ | | | No | | -0.2 | |
| Saints | | | No | | -0.3 | |
|
| Saints 1 TonyMontana 5 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Meatballs | | | +18.0 | | +0.3 | |
| YYZ | | | +2.8 | | +0.3 | |
| Saints | | | No | | -0.6 | |
|
| YYZ 3 GhilaniElectric 9 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Meatballs | | | +9.1 | | +0.2 | |
| YYZ | | | No | | -0.5 | |
| Saints | | | +8.4 | | +0.3 | |
|
| JusttheTip 6 District5 4 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| JusttheTip | | | | | +0.6 | |
| District5 | | | | | -0.6 | |
|
| Week of 8/25 |
| None |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.