NHLL Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs													Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P		G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	RPI

ConcussionJunct	121	.5		7	-	6	-	0	48	99.8	%	-0.0	53	24	14	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				1.8	-0.04	15	Concussion Junction
Bluejackets	118			9	-	4	-	0	41	99.5		-0.2	22	27	22	15	6	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			2.9	-0.60	9	Columbus BlueJackets
UweMustBeJochen	115	.5		10	-	3	-	0	36	99.0		+3.8	11	18	25	43	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		3.2	+0.88	1	Uwe Must Be Jochen
QuackAttack	114	.5		6	-	5	-	2	33.7	97.5		+16.0	7	14	16	12	21	15	9	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				4.4	+2.16	7	Quack Attack
DoanrightGorges	112			7	-	5	-	1	29	93.6		-5.3	3	7	10	8	22	21	15	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0					5.5	-2.08	6	Doanright Gorges
TheRangers	111	.5		8	-	4	-	1	28	92.1		+3.8	2	6	8	7	21	22	17	9	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0				5.7	+0.26	2	THE RANGERS
MieleMiele	110			9	-	3	-	1	25	87.5		+28.0	1	3	4	4	21	20	20	12	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			6.3	+1.77	3	MieleMiele
DevilsSuckShit	104			8	-	5	-	0	13	47.0		+7.1	0	0	0	0	4	8	13	21	19	15	10	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0		8.7	+0.44	11	devils suck shit

GregsGoodies	102			6	-	6	-	1	9	30.7		-0.5	0	0	0	3	1	4	8	15	19	18	15	10	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.5	+0.05	5	Greg's Goodies
Weekes	101	.5		8	-	5	-	0	8	27.2		+15.5	0	0	0	0	1	4	7	14	18	19	16	11	6	3	0	0	0	0	0		9.7	+1.55	18	Flavor of the Weekes
NodlsPasta	100			6	-	6	-	1	4	17.7		-41.5	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	15	18	19	15	10	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	10.4	-2.25	8	Nodls & Pastachetti
GoogleAndroid	95	.5		6	-	4	-	3	-4	4.0		+0.6	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	9	15	22	24	18	2	0	0	0	0	0	12.0	+0.60	4	Google Android
RefireBoudreau	95			7	-	6	-	0	-5	3.1		-26.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	8	14	21	26	20	3	1	0	0	0	0	12.2	-2.36	14	refire boudreau
InToddWeTrust	92			5	-	8	-	0	-11	0.8		-1.4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	14	24	39	7	2	1	0	0	0	13.1	-0.19	10	In Todd We Trust
JackNastyface	79	.5		4	-	7	-	2	-37	0.1		+0.0	0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	25	23	19	14	9	4	16.5	-0.30	12	Jack Nastyface
NMM	79	.5		4	-	8	-	1	-36	0.1		+0.0	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	26	23	19	14	9	4	16.5	-0.01	13	NMM
Kingsland	78	.5		1	-	9	-	3	-38	0.1		+0.0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	20	22	21	17	11	5	16.8	-0.02	20	Kingsland Nordiques
MoulsonCanadian	76	.5		3	-	8	-	2	-42	0.1		+0.0	0			0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11	17	20	22	18	11	17.4	+0.50	19	Moulson Canadian
IMPEKKABLE	73	.3		4	-	9	-	0	-48.7	0.1		+0.0	0			0		0	0	0	0			0	0	0	4	8	12	19	29	28	18.4	-0.90	17	IMPEKKABLE
VlasicTim	71			3	-	10	-	0	-53	0.0		+0.0	0			0			0	0	0			0	0	0	2	4	8	13	24	49	19.0	+0.53	16	Vlasic Tim

Week of 1/8
MieleMiele 12.5 NodlsPasta 2.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
MieleMiele	+9.1		+0.5
NodlsPasta	-9.1		-0.5

RefireBoudreau 1.5 QuackAttack 13.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
QuackAttack	+6.0		+0.5
TheRangers	+0.2
MieleMiele	+0.4
DevilsSuckShit	+0.3
GregsGoodies	+0.2
NodlsPasta	+0.4
RefireBoudreau	-7.7		-0.5

DevilsSuckShit 9 NMM 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
QuackAttack	-0.9
TheRangers	-0.7
MieleMiele	-1.3
DevilsSuckShit	+7.6		+0.4
GregsGoodies	-1.0
Weekes	-0.6
NodlsPasta	-1.3
GoogleAndroid	-0.2
RefireBoudreau	-1.1
NMM			-0.3

InToddWeTrust 6.5 GregsGoodies 8.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
UweMustBeJochen	-0.9		-0.1
QuackAttack	-0.6
TheRangers	-0.5
MieleMiele	-1.0
DevilsSuckShit	-0.8
GregsGoodies	+7.1		+0.5
Weekes	-0.4
NodlsPasta	-0.9
GoogleAndroid	-0.2
RefireBoudreau	-0.7
InToddWeTrust	-1.1		-0.4

Kingsland 6 TheRangers 9
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
QuackAttack	-0.4
DoanrightGorges			-0.1
TheRangers	+3.9		+0.4
MieleMiele	-0.5
DevilsSuckShit	-0.7
GregsGoodies	-0.5
Weekes	-0.3
NodlsPasta	-0.6
RefireBoudreau	-0.5
Kingsland			-0.3

Weekes 11.5 IMPEKKABLE 3.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
QuackAttack	-0.5
TheRangers	-0.3
MieleMiele	-0.7
DevilsSuckShit	-0.6
GregsGoodies	-0.4
Weekes	+3.9		+0.4
NodlsPasta	-0.6
RefireBoudreau	-0.5
IMPEKKABLE			-0.3

DoanrightGorges 3 UweMustBeJochen 12
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
UweMustBeJochen	+1.8		+0.3
DoanrightGorges	-0.5		-0.3
GregsGoodies	-0.9		-0.1

Bluejackets 6 GoogleAndroid 9
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bluejackets			-0.2
MieleMiele	-0.2
DevilsSuckShit	-0.2
NodlsPasta	-0.3
GoogleAndroid	+1.5		+0.3
RefireBoudreau	-0.2

MoulsonCanadian 8 ConcussionJunct 7
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
ConcussionJunct			-0.2
MoulsonCanadian			+0.3

JackNastyface 5 VlasicTim 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JackNastyface			-0.3
VlasicTim			+0.1

Week of 1/15
DevilsSuckShit vs IMPEKKABLEIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TheRangers	91.5*92.192.7
MieleMiele	86.5*87.588.4
DevilsSuckShit	55.3*47.038.8		8.3*8.79.1
GregsGoodies	28.8*30.932.6		9.5*9.59.4
Weekes	25.5*27.028.9		9.8*9.79.7
NodlsPasta	16.4*17.619.0		10.4*10.410.3
IMPEKKABLE			18.718.418.2

JackNastyface vs GregsGoodiesHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TheRangers	92.7*92.291.5
MieleMiele	88.3*87.586.6
DevilsSuckShit	48.9*47.245.1		8.7*8.78.8
GregsGoodies	23.530.338.0		9.99.59.0
Weekes	28.5*27.125.9		9.7*9.79.8
NodlsPasta	18.7*17.816.7		10.310.310.4
JackNastyface			16.216.516.8

Weekes vs TheRangersHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TheRangers	88.692.495.5		6.15.75.3
DevilsSuckShit	45.9*47.148.1
GregsGoodies	30.0*30.631.4
Weekes	34.3*26.920.1		9.39.810.2

RefireBoudreau vs NodlsPastaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DevilsSuckShit	47.9*47.246.1
GregsGoodies	31.4*30.930.0
Weekes	28.0*27.126.4
NodlsPasta	12.2*17.723.2		10.810.39.9
RefireBoudreau	4.73.01.5		11.812.212.6

MieleMiele vs ConcussionJunctHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
ConcussionJunct			2.0*1.81.6
MieleMiele	91.7*87.583.2		5.96.36.7
DevilsSuckShit	46.1*47.147.9
GregsGoodies	29.9*30.631.5
Weekes	26.3*27.028.1
NodlsPasta	17.1*17.818.3

DoanrightGorges vs VlasicTimHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DoanrightGorges	96.1*93.691.1		5.15.55.8
VlasicTim			19.219.018.8

GoogleAndroid vs UweMustBeJochenHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
UweMustBeJochen	98.5*99.099.4		3.4*3.23.0
GoogleAndroid	5.8*3.92.3		11.712.012.3

Kingsland vs QuackAttackHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
QuackAttack	96.3*97.698.6		4.8*4.44.0
Kingsland			16.516.817.1

InToddWeTrust vs NMMHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
InToddWeTrust	1.20.70.4		12.813.113.4
NMM			16.816.516.2

Bluejackets vs MoulsonCanadianHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bluejackets	99.7*99.599.3		2.6*2.93.2
MoulsonCanadian			17.817.517.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

NHLL Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

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