AHA Hockey c3 Playoff Chances 2011-2012

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs													Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Puck Hounds	32		16	4		-	0	0		39	In		100														1.0		2	.771	Puck Hounds
Wingmen	31		15	4		-	1	0		32	In			100													2.0		1	.749	Wingmen
Nighthawks	25		11	6		-	0	3		24	In				100												3.0	+0.36	3	.614	Nighthawks
Mintalar Moose	24		12	8		-	0	0		19	In					100											4.0	-0.36	6	.591	Mintalar Moose
Fighting Piranh	23		10	7		-	1	2		10	In						100										5.0		4	.569	Fighting Piranhas C3
Spiders C3	23		10	7		-	1	2		14	In							100									6.0		7	.569	Spiders C3
Royals C3	22		10	8		-	0	2		-13	Out								100								7.0	+0.65	5	.546	Royals C3
Fighting Saints	21		9	8		-	0	3		-4	Out									100							8.0	-0.17	8	.524	Fighting Saints
Diablos	19		9	10		-	0	1		4	Out										50	50					9.5	-0.77	10	.479	Diablos
Sled Dogs C3	19		9	10		-	0	1		2	Out										50	50					9.5	+0.30	9	.479	Sled Dogs C3
Maroons C3	17		7	10		-	1	2		-11	Out												100				11.0		11	.434	Maroons C3
Ak Bars	12		4	12		-	1	3		-12	Out													100			12.0		12	.321	Ak Bars
Lakers C3	10		4	14		-	0	2		-40	Out														100		13.0		14	.276	Lakers C3
Fighting Ice Fi	8		3	15		-	1	1		-64	Out															100	14.0		13	.231	Fighting Ice Fish

Week of 3/3
Spiders C3 2 Maroons C3 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	+2.8
Fighting Piranh	+6.5
Spiders C3	-19.5		-0.7
Royals C3	+7.0
Fighting Saints	+2.2		+0.2
Sled Dogs C3			-0.2
Maroons C3			+0.6

Royals C3 2 Nighthawks 5
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	+9.1		+0.5
Fighting Piranh	+1.3
Spiders C3	+3.0
Royals C3	-17.1		-0.5
Fighting Saints	+3.3

Diablos 3 Fighting Saints 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	+1.7
Fighting Piranh	+3.5
Spiders C3	+3.3
Royals C3	+5.4
Fighting Saints	-15.4		-0.7
Diablos	+1.3		+0.6

Fighting Piranh 5 Fighting Ice Fi 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Piranh	+9.8		+0.5
Spiders C3	-4.1
Royals C3	-1.8
Fighting Saints	-2.6
Diablos	-0.9
Lakers C3	*Out

Mintalar Moose 1 Sled Dogs C3 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks			+0.2
Mintalar Moose	-1.1		-0.6
Diablos			-0.2
Sled Dogs C3			+0.6
Maroons C3			-0.2

Lakers C3 1 Ak Bars 5
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ak Bars			+0.5
Lakers C3			-0.6

Puck Hounds 1 Wingmen 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Puck Hounds			-0.2
Wingmen			+0.3

Week of 3/10
Fighting Saints 3 Spiders C3 6
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mintalar Moose	-0.4
Fighting Piranh	-2.2
Spiders C3	+28.3		+0.9
Royals C3	-2.2
Fighting Saints	-22.7		-0.9
Diablos	-0.7

Fighting Piranh 4 Sled Dogs C3 4
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	+2.1
Mintalar Moose	+0.6
Fighting Piranh	-23.4		-0.6
Spiders C3	+6.9		+0.2
Royals C3	+4.2		+0.2
Fighting Saints	+8.8		+0.2
Diablos	+1.1
Sled Dogs C3	Out		-0.1

Royals C3 3 Fighting Saints 3
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	+1.8
Mintalar Moose	+1.8
Fighting Piranh	+5.9		+0.2
Spiders C3	+3.4		+0.2
Royals C3	-7.5		-0.2
Fighting Saints	-7.9		-0.4
Diablos	+2.6

Ak Bars 1 Fighting Piranh 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	-0.9
Mintalar Moose	-0.8
Fighting Piranh	+14.4		+0.7
Spiders C3	-3.9
Royals C3	-2.6
Fighting Saints	-5.3
Diablos	-1.0

Maroons C3 3 Royals C3 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Piranh	-4.7
Spiders C3	-3.7
Royals C3	+14.3		+0.7
Fighting Saints	-3.1
Diablos	-1.4
Maroons C3	Out		-0.5

Spiders C3 5 Fighting Ice Fi 2
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	-0.9
Mintalar Moose	-0.5
Fighting Piranh	-3.9
Spiders C3	+9.6		+0.3
Royals C3	-1.6
Fighting Saints	-1.8
Diablos	-0.6

Nighthawks 5 Maroons C3 2
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	In		+0.5
Mintalar Moose			-0.2
Fighting Piranh	-1.7

Diablos 4 Ak Bars 2
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Diablos	+1.0		+0.4

Fighting Ice Fi 0 Diablos 10
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Royals C3	-0.4
Fighting Saints	-0.4
Diablos	+0.9		+0.3

Mintalar Moose 1 Wingmen 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mintalar Moose	-0.8		-0.3

Wingmen 6 Nighthawks 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks	-0.8		-0.2
Fighting Piranh	+0.7

Puck Hounds 13 Mintalar Moose 8
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mintalar Moose	-0.2		-0.2

Sled Dogs C3 11 Lakers C3 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sled Dogs C3	+0.1		+0.3
Lakers C3			-0.2

Week of 3/18
Mintalar Moose 6 Lakers C3 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mintalar Moose	In		+0.3
Fighting Piranh	-0.2
Spiders C3			-0.2
Ak Bars			+0.2
Lakers C3			-0.2

Fighting Saints 4 Nighthawks 4
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks			+0.4
Mintalar Moose			-0.4
Royals C3			+0.3
Fighting Saints			-0.4
Diablos			+0.2

Sled Dogs C3 2 Diablos 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Saints			+0.3
Diablos			-0.8
Sled Dogs C3			+0.3

Fighting Ice Fi 3 Royals C3 4 (ot)
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Royals C3			+0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

AHA Hockey c3 Playoff Chances 2011-2012

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