Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibetadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Flamengo6418-10-91353.6%+23.7Yes+2.554281531.7+0.59No3Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Internacional6218-8-111823.0+12.498.3%+11.12329281922.5+0.68No4Sport Club Internacional
Palmeiras6217-11-91413.3+5.090.4+19.213232727103.0+0.66No2Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Sao Paulo6217-11-91110.0-40.788.3-10.910202435123.2-1.40No1Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Cruzeiro5917-8-124No-0.222.9+4.7161664134.8+0.53No8Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Atletico-MG5616-8-132No-0.3No-26.61346281226.4-1.26No5Clube Atletico Mineiro
Gremio5515-10-1222NoNo23392987.2+0.82No7Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Goias5415-9-13-1NoNo131736337.9+0.95No9Goias Esporte Clube
Avai5414-12-118NoNo51522578.3-0.58No6Avai Futebol Clube
Corinthians4913-10-14-7NoNo422327911.0-0.41No15Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Santos4912-13-121NoNo2522361811.5+0.23No10Santos Futebol Clube
Barueri4812-12-137NoNo1523201822212.2-0.60No11Gremio Recreativo Barueri
Vitoria4713-8-16-6NoNo7161133141912.9-0.72No-0.114Esporte Clube Vitoria
Atletico-PR4713-8-16-7NoNo1216713312113.0+1.74No-12.012Clube Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense4511-12-14-7NoNo61830331315.3+1.0413.0%-42.113Fluminense Football Club
Coritiba4412-8-17-12NoNo415172629815.9-1.0237.8+21.817Coritiba Football Club
Botafogo4410-14-13-7NoNo1036411316.6-1.2553.9+33.416Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Santo Andre4111-8-18-12NoNo51771817.8+0.4995.3-2.918Esporte Clube Santo Andre
Nautico3810-8-19-22NoNo89218.9-0.49Yes+1.819Clube Nautico Capibaribe
Sport Recife317-10-20-19NoNo10020.0Yes20Sport Club do Recife

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
Botafogo 3 Sao Paulo 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+11.9
Sao Paulo-18.6
-0.5
-0.3
Cruzeiro+0.1
Fluminense+11.1
-0.2
Botafogo-20.8
+0.8
Flamengo 0 Goias 0
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-8.1
+0.6
-0.2
Sao Paulo+6.3
Goias-0.4
-0.3
Atletico-MG 0 Internacional 1
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+3.0
+31.9
+1.1
Atletico-MG-2.0
-25.5
-0.9
GremioNo
Atletico-PR 1 Cruzeiro 1
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+3.4
Palmeiras+1.6
Cruzeiro-0.5
-8.2
-0.3
Barueri*No
Santo Andre 4 Avai 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
AvaiNo
-5.9
-0.8
Santos 4 Coritiba 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
SantosNo
+1.3
Coritiba+3.6
-1.1
Corinthians 2 Nautico 3
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CorinthiansNo
-0.8
Sport Recife 0 Fluminense 3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense-24.9
+0.8
Botafogo+12.9
-0.2
Vitoria 2 Barueri 1
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria-2.3
+1.3
Week of 11/29
Goias 4 Sao Paulo 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+12.4
+0.2
Internacional+7.1
+0.2
Sao Paulo-25.6
-1.4
-0.6
Cruzeiro+0.3
Atletico-MG+0.5
Corinthians 0 Flamengo 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+25.5
Yes
+0.7
Sao Paulo-16.2
-0.2
CruzeiroNo
-0.8
Atletico-MGNo
Sport Recife 1 Internacional 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+14.6
+12.5
+0.9
Palmeiras 3 Atletico-MG 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+11.9
+27.0
+1.1
Atletico-MGNo
-25.4
-0.8
Cruzeiro 4 Coritiba 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional-7.6
Palmeiras-6.6
-0.2
Cruzeiro+0.3
+22.7
+0.8
VitoriaNo
Fluminense-7.8
+0.2
Coritiba+19.4
-1.0
Botafogo-6.2
+0.2
Fluminense 4 Vitoria 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria+0.2
-1.2
Atletico-PR+8.0
Fluminense-29.9
+0.9
Botafogo+13.9
-0.2
Atletico-PR 2 Botafogo 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
VitoriaNo
Atletico-PRNo
+1.3
Botafogo+20.9
-1.0
Santo Andre-0.7
Nautico-0.7
Santo Andre 5 Nautico 3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santo Andre-3.2
+0.6
NauticoYes
-0.5
Gremio 4 Barueri 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Barueri-1.0
Avai 2 Santos 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-0.4
Week of 12/5
Flamengo vs GremioIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYes29.226.2
1.02.02.1
InternacionalNo36.036.0
2.72.32.3
PalmeirasNo20.820.8
3.22.82.8
Sao PauloNo14.017.0
3.43.13.0
Internacional vs Santo AndreHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo36.063.563.5
2.11.41.4
Internacional64.0NoNo
YesYes95.4
1.42.73.4
PalmeirasNo20.820.8
3.32.92.7
Sao PauloNo15.715.7
3.53.22.9
Coritiba33.133.146.1
15.715.716.1
Santo AndreYesYes87.0
18.218.017.3
Botafogo vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo63.563.536.0
1.41.42.1
InternacionalYes97.497.4
2.12.52.8
PalmeirasNoNo37.0
73.5YesYes
4.13.01.8
Cruzeiro36.015.515.5
4.65.05.0
Fluminense36.0NoNo
15.715.115.1
Coritiba64.036.013.0
16.215.915.5
BotafogoNo64.0Yes
15.716.617.4
Santo AndreYesYes87.0
17.917.917.6
Sao Paulo vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo38.362.262.2
2.01.51.5
Internacional97.497.4Yes
2.82.52.1
Sao Paulo27.9NoNo
YesYes67.5
2.03.34.3
Cruzeiro15.515.636.0
5.05.04.6
Santos vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
InternacionalYesYes95.4
2.42.42.5
PalmeirasYesYes73.5
2.82.83.2
Sao PauloYesYes67.5
3.13.13.4
CruzeiroNoNo63.6
5.45.04.2
Coritiba vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense36.0NoNo
16.415.414.2
CoritibaNo36.077.0
14.416.417.0
Botafogo64.064.036.0
16.816.416.5
Santo AndreYesYes87.0
17.917.917.6
Vitoria vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria11.213.014.4
Barueri vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Barueri10.712.013.7
Atletico-PR14.513.610.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.