"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/21100.0*Libetadores100.0*Average seed
Flamengo 0 Goias 0 -0.1
-0.1
Atletico-MG 0 Internacional 1 -0.0
Santo Andre 4 Avai 2 +0.1
Corinthians 2 Nautico 3 +0.2
Vitoria 2 Barueri 1 +0.1
Week of 11/29100.0*Libetadores100.0*Average seed
Goias 4 Sao Paulo 2 +1.1
Gremio 4 Barueri 2 -0.1
Fluminense 4 Vitoria 0 +0.1
Corinthians 0 Flamengo 2 +0.1
Avai 2 Santos 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/5100.0*Libetadores100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Goias-0.8-0.5+1.0
Nautico vs Avai+0.4+0.0-0.2
Flamengo vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.3
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.2-0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibetadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
571-0-0NoNo305317No17,259,933
550-1-0NoNo05545No12,048,613
540-0-1NoNo2773No13,755,614
Total:NoNo12213136No43,064,160
Points
Chance Will Win Championship