How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.0
-0.5
-0.1
Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 -0.3
Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 -0.3
-0.1
+0.0
Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.3
-0.2
Flamengo 3 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.4
America-RN 1 Santos 4 -0.1
-0.1
Parana 3 Juventude 1 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.1-0.0-0.0
+1.9-0.5-1.2
-3.0+0.2+2.3
+1.1-0.2-0.8
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo-0.3+0.0+0.2
Parana vs Cruzeiro+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Nautico-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.7
Botafogo vs Flamengo-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.4-0.1+0.7
Juventude vs Goias+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Fluminense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Figueirense vs America-RN+0.4-0.2-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.1-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Fluminense+1.6-0.6-1.2
-3.0+0.3+2.9
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Flamengo vs Sport Recife-1.2-0.6+1.6
+3.0+0.3-3.0
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo+0.2*-0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Parana-0.1*+0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Cruzeiro+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.1-0.1
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.2
Corinthians vs Santos+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
Gremio vs Botafogo+0.1+0.1-0.1
Santos vs Internacional-0.1+0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.1-0.0
Nautico vs Internacional+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.3
Goias vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.7
Goias vs Figueirense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG+0.6-0.1-0.3
Parana vs Nautico-0.1-0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Corinthians vs America-RN+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
America-RN vs Juventude-0.2-0.1+0.2
Flamengo vs Figueirense-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
7917-0-092.9%Yes937No1,294
7716-1-0YesYes100No1
7616-0-166.7Yes6733No3
7515-2-061.1Yes61336No18
7415-1-165.9Yes66305No44
7314-3-061.9Yes62326No113*
7214-2-136.5Yes365481No285
7114-1-229.6Yes3055150No615*
7013-3-121.899.9%22542220No1,289*
6913-2-213.799.614513050No2,706*
6812-4-17.199.174140111No4,876*
6712-3-24.297.2431441830No9,015*
6612-2-31.793.12224327610No15,728*
6511-4-20.786.1112383512200No26,107*
6411-3-30.274.306283921500No42,247*
6310-5-20.058.20318373110100No65,034*
6210-4-30.040.90110303619400No95,712*
6110-3-40.024.70042036289100No138,458*
609-5-3No12.40211303518400No190,254*
599-4-4No5.000520352810200No255,926*
589-3-5No1.6001102835205100No332,168*
578-5-4No0.300417343012200No413,653*
568-4-5No0.100182535237100No499,309*
558-3-6No0.0003143132164000No586,131*
547-5-5No0.0001620332711200No661,287*
537-4-6NoNo002102633227100No723,012*
526-6-5NoNo0003143031164100No764,432*
516-5-6NoNo00161932271220000.0%779,605*
506-4-7NoNo002924332381000.0771,214*
495-6-6NoNo00031329321851000.0733,385*
485-5-7NoNo0015183229122000.2676,547*
475-4-8NoNo000192534237100.9599,441*
464-6-7NoNo0003143133163003.0512,384*
454-5-8NoNo00162136278108.6420,774*
444-4-9NoNo002113137172019.0332,950*
433-6-8NoNo00052139286034.0252,604*
423-5-9NoNo002123539121051.7183,361*
413-4-10NoNo0052645222068.4126,805*
402-6-9NoNo0021645334081.583,592*
392-5-10NoNo01939439090.652,424*
382-4-11NoNo04305016095.831,442*
371-6-10NoNo02205424098.217,488*
361-5-11NoNo00135234199.59,073*
351-4-12NoNo074744199.84,520*
341-3-13NoNo043757399.91,940*
330-5-12NoNo229646Yes803*
320-4-13NoNo20728Yes275*
310-3-14NoNo78013Yes91*
300-2-15NoNo87319Yes26
290-1-16NoNo8020Yes5
280-0-17NoNo26039Yes1,294
Total:0.0%2.3%0011346891010101097642005.5%10,421,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship