Sao Paulo Futebol Clube Title Chances 2007 50/50Beat Nautico 5-0, title odds up 8.3 to 50.5% 44 points 13-5-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 | +9.8 | | +6.1 | | No | | +0.5 | | Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 | -1.1 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 | -1.0 | | -0.6 | | | | | | Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 | +0.7 | | +0.2 | | | | +0.0 | | America-RN 1 Santos 4 | -0.5 | | -0.6 | | | | | | Flamengo 3 Goias 1 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Parana 3 Juventude 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo | -9.6-2.1+11.2 | | -4.7-0.4+4.9 | | +0.0-0.0No | | -0.4-0.0+0.4 | | Parana vs Cruzeiro | +2.7+1.1-3.6 | | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Botafogo vs Flamengo | -1.7+0.7+1.2 | | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Vasco da Gama vs Nautico | -1.7+0.6+1.2 | | -0.6+0.2+0.5 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Santos vs Atletico-PR | -0.6+0.2+0.5 | | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | | | | | | Sport Recife vs Gremio | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | | +0.2+0.2-0.4 | | | | | | Internacional vs Fluminense | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.4+0.2+0.2 | | | | | | Juventude vs Goias | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Atletico-MG vs Corinthians | | | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo vs Parana | +10.1-2.5-8.2 | | +4.6-0.6-4.1 | | No-0.0+0.0 | | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | | Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo | -8.1-2.5+10.0 | | -4.1-0.6+4.6 | | +0.0-0.0No | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | Juventude vs Cruzeiro | +2.7+1.1-3.6 | | +0.4+0.1-0.5 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | -2.5+1.6+1.3 | | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama | +1.2+0.6-1.7 | | +0.4+0.3-0.6 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Gremio vs Botafogo | +0.9+0.9-1.6 | | *+0.1+0.3-0.3 | | | | | | Gremio vs Vasco da Gama | +0.8+0.8-1.4 | | *+0.0+0.3-0.3 | | | | | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | -0.7+1.2-0.2 | | -0.2+0.4-0.1 | | | | | | Corinthians vs Santos | +0.4+0.4-0.7 | | +0.3+0.2-0.5 | | | | | | Santos vs Internacional | -0.4+0.3+0.2 | | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | | | | | | Nautico vs Internacional | +0.2+0.2-0.4 | | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | | | | | | Goias vs Atletico-PR | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Goias vs Figueirense | -0.2*+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG | | | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Flamengo vs Sport Recife | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Parana vs Nautico | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Corinthians vs America-RN | | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 84 | -95 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,378 | * | 83 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,427 | * | 82 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,907 | * | 81 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,720 | * | 80 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,499 | * | 79 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,252 | * | 78 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,299 | * | 77 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,125 | * | 76 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 98.8 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 66,810 | * | 75 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 98.0 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 88,922 | * | 74 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 96.7 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114,463 | * | 73 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 94.8 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 141,693 | * | 72 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 91.7 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 170,419 | * | 71 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 87.5 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,244 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 87.8 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 100,826 | * | 70 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 81.4 | | Yes | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 140,539 | | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 82.3 | | Yes | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 81,469 | * | 69 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 73.6 | | 100.0 | % | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 151,050 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 74.2 | | 100.0 | | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 91,835 | * | 68 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 63.6 | | 100.0 | | 64 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 128,233 | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 64.6 | | 100.0 | | 65 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127,325 | * | 67 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 52.4 | | 100.0 | | 52 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 164,882 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 53.7 | | 100.0 | | 54 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,295 | * | 66 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 40.7 | | 99.9 | | 41 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 151,519 | | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 40.8 | | 99.9 | | 41 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,959 | * | 65 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 27.9 | | 99.6 | | 28 | 45 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127,353 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 29.4 | | 99.7 | | 29 | 45 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 116,942 | * | 64 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 17.5 | | 98.6 | | 18 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 140,960 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 18.6 | | 98.8 | | 19 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,824 | * | 63 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 9.8 | | 95.8 | | 10 | 33 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 113,323 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 9.5 | | 95.8 | | 10 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 87,558 | * | 62 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 4.3 | | 89.1 | | 4 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 171,685 | * | 61 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 1.5 | | 76.5 | | 1 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 141,723 | * | 60 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | 0.4 | | 57.3 | | 0 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 113,135 | * | 59 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 34.8 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,703 | * | 58 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 16.2 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,876 | * | 57 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | 5.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 44,137 | * | 56 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 1.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 29,498 | * | 55 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 18,622 | * | 54 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 11,009 | * | 53 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 6,383 | * | 52 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,339 | * | 51 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | % | 1,691 | * | 50 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 1 | | | | | No | 771 | * | 49 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | | | | 1.0 | | 297 | * | 48 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 37 | 11 | 4 | | | | 3.5 | | 114 | * | 47 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 13 | 41 | 21 | 15 | | | | 15.4 | | 39 | * | 46 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | 33 | 33 | 11 | | | | 11.1 | | 9 | | 45 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | Yes | 1 | | 44 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 19 | 2 | | 61.2 | | 438 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 50.5 | % | 90.5 | % | 50 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 3,527,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |