How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 +9.8
+6.1
No
+0.5
Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 -1.1
-0.5
Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 -1.0
-0.6
Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.7
+0.2
+0.0
America-RN 1 Santos 4 -0.5
-0.6
Flamengo 3 Goias 1 +0.3
+0.3
Parana 3 Juventude 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo-9.6-2.1+11.2
-4.7-0.4+4.9
+0.0-0.0No
-0.4-0.0+0.4
Parana vs Cruzeiro+2.7+1.1-3.6
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Flamengo-1.7+0.7+1.2
-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Nautico-1.7+0.6+1.2
-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Santos vs Atletico-PR-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.5+0.2+0.4
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2+0.2-0.4
Internacional vs Fluminense-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.2
Juventude vs Goias+0.2*+0.1-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.1+0.2*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Parana+10.1-2.5-8.2
+4.6-0.6-4.1
No-0.0+0.0
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo-8.1-2.5+10.0
-4.1-0.6+4.6
+0.0-0.0No
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Juventude vs Cruzeiro+2.7+1.1-3.6
+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras-2.5+1.6+1.3
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama+1.2+0.6-1.7
+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Botafogo+0.9+0.9-1.6
*+0.1+0.3-0.3
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama+0.8+0.8-1.4
*+0.0+0.3-0.3
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.7+1.2-0.2
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Corinthians vs Santos+0.4+0.4-0.7
+0.3+0.2-0.5
Santos vs Internacional-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.2+0.3*+0.0
Nautico vs Internacional+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.3+0.2-0.4
Goias vs Atletico-PR-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.1+0.2
Goias vs Figueirense-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG+0.1*+0.1-0.2
Flamengo vs Sport Recife*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Parana vs Nautico-0.2+0.1+0.1
Corinthians vs America-RN-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-95YesYes100No4,378*
8312-3-2100.0%Yes1000No3,427*
8212-2-399.9Yes1000No5,907*
8111-4-2100.0Yes1000No9,720*
8011-3-399.9Yes1000No15,499*
7910-5-299.8Yes1000No23,252*
7810-4-399.6Yes1000No34,299*
7710-3-499.3Yes991No49,125*
769-5-398.8Yes9910No66,810*
759-4-498.0Yes9820No88,922*
749-3-596.7Yes9730No114,463*
738-5-494.8Yes9550No141,693*
728-4-591.7Yes92800No170,419*
718-3-687.5Yes881200No97,244
7-6-487.8Yes881200No100,826*
707-5-581.4Yes811810No140,539
8-2-782.3Yes821710No81,469*
697-4-673.6100.0%7424200No151,050
6-7-474.2100.07424200No91,835*
686-6-563.6100.06432400No128,233
7-3-764.6100.06531400No127,325*
676-5-652.4100.052398100No164,882
7-2-853.7100.05438810No96,295*
666-4-740.799.9414314200No151,519
5-7-540.899.9414314200No105,959*
655-6-627.999.62845235000No127,353
6-3-829.499.7294521400No116,942*
645-5-717.598.61841311010No140,960
6-2-918.698.81941309100No84,824*
635-4-89.895.8103336174000No113,323
4-7-69.595.810323717400No87,558*
624-6-74.389.142237269200No171,685*
614-5-81.576.51123033185100No141,723*
604-4-90.457.305193328123000No113,135*
593-6-80.134.80192433238200No85,703*
583-5-90.016.2003132831186100No62,876*
573-4-10No5.001416302815410No44,137*
562-6-9No1.10016193027134100No29,498*
552-5-10No0.1001720302612310No18,622*
542-4-11No0.0002821302411300No11,009*
531-6-10NoNo021022302311200No6,383*
521-5-11NoNo121125282210300No3,339*
511-4-12NoNo002112429221020000.1%1,691*
501-3-13NoNo131327301871No771*
490-5-12NoNo1513272818711.0297*
480-4-13NoNo151725371143.5114*
470-3-14NoNo101341211515.439*
460-2-15NoNo2233331111.19
450-1-16NoNo100Yes1
440-0-17NoNo29284019261.2438
Total:50.5%90.5%50221274211000000000000.0%3,527,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship