Parana Clube Title Chances 2007 50/50Beat Juventude 3-1, title odds up 0.04 to 0.2% 27 points 7-6-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Parana 3 Juventude 1 | +0.1 | | +1.9 | | -9.3 | | +1.2 | | Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 | | | -0.1 | | -0.9 | | +0.0 | | Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 | | | +0.1 | | *-0.1 | | +0.0 | | Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 | | | -0.2 | | -0.6 | | | | Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | America-RN 1 Santos 4 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Flamengo 3 Goias 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.8 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Parana vs Cruzeiro | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | +2.8-0.9-2.0 | | -6.3+1.2+5.4 | | +1.2-0.3-0.9 | | Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Botafogo vs Flamengo | | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Santos vs Atletico-PR | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.7-0.3+0.9 | | | | Vasco da Gama vs Nautico | | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | -0.7-0.3+0.9 | | | | Juventude vs Goias | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | | | | Sport Recife vs Gremio | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Internacional vs Fluminense | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | | | Figueirense vs America-RN | | | | | +0.6-0.2-0.5 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Atletico-MG vs Corinthians | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo vs Parana | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | -1.9-1.0+2.7 | | +5.3+1.2-6.3 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | Parana vs Nautico | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | +2.6-0.9-1.9 | | -7.0+0.7+6.4 | | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | | Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.4*-0.0-0.4 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Juventude vs Cruzeiro | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.8-0.2-0.6 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Gremio vs Botafogo | | | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Gremio vs Vasco da Gama | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.6*-0.1-0.5 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Corinthians vs Santos | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.5*-0.1-0.4 | | | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | | | | | Nautico vs Internacional | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.9-0.3-0.6 | | | | Santos vs Internacional | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | Goias vs Figueirense | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.4-0.1+0.6 | | | | Goias vs Atletico-PR | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | | | | Flamengo vs Figueirense | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.1-0.2+0.3 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG | | | | | +0.6-0.3-0.4 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Corinthians vs America-RN | | | | | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | America-RN vs Juventude | | | | | -0.4-0.3+0.6 | | | | Sport Recife vs Fluminense | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Flamengo vs Sport Recife | | | | | +0.2*-0.1-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 78 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.3 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 438 | | 75 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 80.0 | | Yes | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5 | | 74 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7 | | 73 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 71.4 | | Yes | 71 | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21 | | 72 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 77.8 | | Yes | 78 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45 | * | 71 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 81.6 | | Yes | 82 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114 | | 70 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 72.6 | | Yes | 73 | 24 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 234 | * | 69 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 60.3 | | Yes | 60 | 35 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 539 | * | 68 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 49.7 | | Yes | 50 | 42 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,082 | * | 67 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 39.1 | | Yes | 39 | 46 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,918 | * | 66 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 26.3 | | 99.9 | % | 26 | 50 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,490 | * | 65 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 16.3 | | 99.3 | | 16 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,935 | * | 64 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 9.6 | | 97.4 | | 10 | 37 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,795 | * | 63 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 4.6 | | 93.3 | | 5 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,390 | * | 62 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 1.8 | | 84.3 | | 2 | 15 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,467 | * | 61 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.6 | | 69.4 | | 1 | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,623 | * | 60 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 49.6 | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,899 | * | 59 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 28.8 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 67,021 | * | 58 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 12.7 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,528 | * | 57 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 4.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 113,970 | * | 56 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 141,217 | * | 55 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 170,227 | * | 54 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 197,778 | * | 53 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 222,446 | * | 52 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 242,620 | * | 51 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 256,350 | * | 50 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 260,223 | * | 49 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.3 | | 257,981 | * | 48 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 1.9 | | 244,640 | * | 47 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 7.0 | | 225,203 | * | 46 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | 17.9 | | 200,423 | * | 45 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 35.1 | | 171,595 | * | 44 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 55.2 | | 142,427 | * | 43 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 73.0 | | 113,175 | * | 42 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 0 | 86.2 | | 85,924 | * | 41 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 45 | 21 | 1 | 94.0 | | 62,505 | * | 40 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 32 | 3 | 97.6 | | 44,143 | * | 39 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 43 | 7 | 99.2 | | 29,212 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 32 | 51 | 12 | 99.8 | | 18,610 | * | 37 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 56 | 19 | 100.0 | | 11,306 | * | 36 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 56 | 26 | 100.0 | | 6,361 | * | 35 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 54 | 35 | Yes | 3,334 | * | 34 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 48 | 46 | Yes | 1,648 | * | 33 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 44 | 53 | Yes | 737 | * | 32 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 34 | 64 | Yes | 312 | * | 31 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | 73 | Yes | 131 | * | 30 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 18 | 77 | Yes | 22 | * | 29 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 88 | Yes | 8 | | 28 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | Yes | 3 | | 27 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | Yes | 438 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.2 | % | 4.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14.9 | % | 3,527,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |