Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras Title Chances 2007Beat Figueirense 2-1, title odds up 0.9 to 3.3% 36 points 10-6-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 | +1.2 | | +8.9 | | -0.1 | | +0.7 | | Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 | -0.5 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 | -0.1 | | -1.4 | | | | | | Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 | +0.1 | | +0.7 | | | | | | Flamengo 3 Goias 1 | | | +0.8 | | | | +0.0 | | America-RN 1 Santos 4 | | | -0.7 | | | | -0.1 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo | +3.3-0.4-2.0 | | +12.4-1.5-7.6 | | | | +0.8-0.1-0.5 | | Parana vs Cruzeiro | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | | +1.1+0.4-0.9 | | | | | | Botafogo vs Flamengo | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -1.8+0.9+1.9 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Vasco da Gama vs Nautico | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -1.7+1.1+2.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Santos vs Atletico-PR | | | -1.2+0.6+1.3 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Sport Recife vs Gremio | | | +0.6+0.5-0.9 | | | | | | Internacional vs Fluminense | | | -0.7+0.4+0.5 | | | | | | Juventude vs Goias | | | +0.6+0.3-0.5 | | | | | | Atletico-MG vs Corinthians | | | -0.2+0.1*+0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | -1.7-0.6+2.5 | | -9.2-2.0+12.6 | | | | -0.6-0.1+0.8 | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | -1.5-0.6+2.1 | | -10.7-2.1+12.9 | | | | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | | Sao Paulo vs Parana | -0.8+0.5+1.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo | +1.0+0.5-0.8 | | | | | | | | Juventude vs Cruzeiro | +0.5+0.2-0.3 | | +1.4+0.6-0.8 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | Gremio vs Botafogo | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.6+1.1-1.2 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +1.8+1.0-1.8 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Gremio vs Vasco da Gama | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.6+1.1-1.2 | | | | | | Corinthians vs Santos | | | +1.1+0.6-1.2 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Santos vs Internacional | | | -0.8+0.8+0.2 | | | | | | Nautico vs Internacional | | | +0.8+0.4-0.7 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | Goias vs Atletico-PR | | | -0.6+0.3+0.6 | | | | | | Goias vs Figueirense | | | -0.6+0.3+0.5 | | | | | | Flamengo vs Sport Recife | | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Sport Recife vs Fluminense | | | -0.2+0.1*+0.1 | | | | | | Corinthians vs America-RN | | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,295 | | 84 | -85 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 91 | * | 83 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 184 | | 82 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 98.8 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 420 | | 81 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 94.4 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 911 | * | 80 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 92.7 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,186 | | 79 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 88.8 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,974 | * | 78 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 84.3 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,042 | * | 77 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 77.4 | | Yes | 77 | 22 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,349 | * | 76 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 69.7 | | Yes | 70 | 29 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,235 | * | 75 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 61.1 | | Yes | 61 | 36 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,356 | * | 74 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 51.6 | | Yes | 52 | 44 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,129 | * | 73 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 41.7 | | 100.0 | % | 42 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 95,768 | * | 72 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 31.6 | | 100.0 | | 32 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 139,956 | * | 71 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 22.6 | | 100.0 | | 23 | 55 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 193,151 | * | 70 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 14.9 | | 99.9 | | 15 | 52 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 258,633 | * | 69 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 9.1 | | 99.6 | | 9 | 46 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 336,261 | * | 68 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 5.0 | | 98.8 | | 5 | 37 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 418,854 | * | 67 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 2.4 | | 96.9 | | 2 | 27 | 46 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 506,810 | * | 66 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 1.0 | | 93.1 | | 1 | 18 | 44 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 592,249 | * | 65 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.4 | | 86.2 | | 0 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 665,601 | * | 64 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 75.3 | | 0 | 5 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 724,367 | * | 63 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 60.1 | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 383,915 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 61.0 | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 378,023 | * | 62 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 43.6 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 773,825 | * | 61 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 27.4 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 762,261 | * | 60 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 14.4 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 724,745 | * | 59 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 6.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 663,878 | * | 58 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 2.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 589,857 | * | 57 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 505,416 | * | 56 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 416,846 | * | 55 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 331,733 | * | 54 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 253,108 | * | 53 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 186,079 | * | 52 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 132,251 | * | 51 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 89,546 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 57,787 | * | 49 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.1 | | 35,627 | * | 48 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.4 | | 21,338 | * | 47 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | 1.9 | | 11,805 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0 | | | 5.6 | | 6,172 | * | 45 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 32 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | 14.3 | | 3,016 | * | 44 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | 24.5 | | 1,456 | * | 43 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 15 | 34 | 36 | 10 | | | 45.6 | | 577 | * | 42 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 32 | 43 | 15 | 1 | | 60.1 | | 273 | * | 41 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 24 | 39 | 27 | 7 | | 72.0 | | 75 | * | 40 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 19 | 23 | 42 | 12 | | 76.9 | | 26 | * | 39 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 29 | 43 | 14 | | 85.7 | | 7 | * | 38 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | Yes | 2 | | 36 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 47 | 42 | 1 | 99.4 | | 1,294 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.3 | % | 47.3 | % | 3 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 10,421,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |