How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 +1.2
+8.9
-0.1
+0.7
Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 -0.5
-0.2
Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 -0.1
-1.4
Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.1
+0.7
Flamengo 3 Goias 1 +0.8
+0.0
America-RN 1 Santos 4 -0.7
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo+3.3-0.4-2.0
+12.4-1.5-7.6
+0.8-0.1-0.5
Parana vs Cruzeiro+0.4+0.2-0.4
+1.1+0.4-0.9
Botafogo vs Flamengo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.8+0.9+1.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.7+1.1+2.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Atletico-PR-1.2+0.6+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.6+0.5-0.9
Internacional vs Fluminense-0.7+0.4+0.5
Juventude vs Goias+0.6+0.3-0.5
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.2+0.1*+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras-1.7-0.6+2.5
-9.2-2.0+12.6
-0.6-0.1+0.8
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-1.5-0.6+2.1
-10.7-2.1+12.9
-0.6-0.1+0.7
Sao Paulo vs Parana-0.8+0.5+1.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo+1.0+0.5-0.8
Juventude vs Cruzeiro+0.5+0.2-0.3
+1.4+0.6-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Gremio vs Botafogo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.6+1.1-1.2
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
+1.8+1.0-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6+1.1-1.2
Corinthians vs Santos+1.1+0.6-1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Internacional-0.8+0.8+0.2
Nautico vs Internacional+0.8+0.4-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Goias vs Atletico-PR-0.6+0.3+0.6
Goias vs Figueirense-0.6+0.3+0.5
Flamengo vs Sport Recife*+0.1+0.2-0.2
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.1-0.2
Sport Recife vs Fluminense-0.2+0.1*+0.1
Corinthians vs America-RN-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8717-0-099.9%Yes1000No1,295
84-85YesYes100No91*
8315-2-098.9Yes991No184
8215-1-198.8Yes991No420
8114-3-094.4Yes946No911*
8014-2-192.7Yes9370No2,186
7914-1-288.8Yes89110No3,974*
7813-3-184.3Yes84150No8,042*
7713-2-277.4Yes77220No14,349*
7612-4-169.7Yes702910No24,235*
7512-3-261.1Yes613630No40,356*
7412-2-351.6Yes524450No63,129*
7311-4-241.7100.0%4250800No95,768*
7211-3-331.6100.032541410No139,956*
7110-5-222.6100.023552120No193,151*
7010-4-314.999.9155229400No258,633*
6910-3-49.199.694637700No336,261*
689-5-35.098.85374313100No418,854*
679-4-42.496.92274621300No506,810*
669-3-51.093.11184430600No592,249*
658-5-40.486.2010383812100No665,601*
648-4-50.175.305284221400No724,367*
637-6-40.060.1021840318100No383,915
8-3-60.061.0021940308100No378,023*
627-5-50.043.601103338163000No773,825*
617-4-60.027.40052339267100No762,261*
606-6-50.014.400213343415300No724,745*
596-5-6No6.10062337258100No663,878*
586-4-7No2.0002133133174000No589,857*
575-6-6No0.500520342710200No505,416*
565-5-7No0.1002102733216100No416,846*
555-4-8No0.000415303015410No331,733*
544-6-7NoNo016203226112000No253,108*
534-5-8No0.0000292432228200No186,079*
524-4-9NoNo003132831186100No132,251*
513-6-8NoNo0151730291540000.0%89,546*
503-5-9NoNo0017213226112000.057,787*
493-4-10NoNo002102532227100.135,627*
482-6-9NoNo004143031174000.421,338*
472-5-10NoNo01620332811201.911,805*
462-4-11NoNo029263621505.66,172*
451-6-10NoNo03173233132014.33,016*
441-5-11NoNo282838213024.51,456*
431-4-12NoNo051534361045.6577*
421-3-13NoNo17324315160.1273*
410-5-12NoNo4243927772.075*
400-4-13NoNo41923421276.926*
390-3-14NoNo1429431485.77*
380-2-15NoNo5050Yes2
360-0-17NoNo194742199.41,294
Total:3.3%47.3%31116171612964321100000000.0%10,421,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship