How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 -0.7
Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.7
-0.1
Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.4
Flamengo 3 Goias 1 +0.4
+0.1
America-RN 1 Santos 4 -0.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Internacional vs Fluminense+0.2-0.1-0.1
+4.7-1.9-4.0
-0.7+0.0+0.8
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.9+0.1+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Parana vs Cruzeiro+0.5+0.2-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo vs Flamengo-0.7+0.3+0.8
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Nautico-0.6+0.4+0.9
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Santos vs Atletico-PR-0.5+0.2+0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.2+0.2-0.3
Juventude vs Goias+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Figueirense vs America-RN+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Internacional-0.1-0.1+0.2
-4.1-1.5+5.7
+0.6*+0.0-0.7
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Nautico vs Internacional-0.1-0.1+0.1
-4.2-2.3+4.0
+1.0+0.1-0.6
-0.9-0.4+0.8
Sao Paulo vs Parana-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Juventude vs Cruzeiro+0.6+0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras+0.2+0.3-0.5
Gremio vs Botafogo+0.3+0.4-0.5
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama+0.3+0.4-0.5
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama+0.7+0.3-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Corinthians vs Santos+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.4-0.2
Goias vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs Fluminense-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Flamengo vs Sport Recife*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Parana vs Nautico-0.0-0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs America-RN+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Internacional finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8217-0-098.3%Yes982No1,294
8016-1-0YesYes100No7
7916-0-192.9Yes937No14
7815-2-090.9Yes919No44
7715-1-178.8Yes7921No113
7614-3-076.3Yes76230No262*
7514-2-167.7Yes68311No678
7414-1-259.8Yes603640No1,277*
7313-3-149.5Yes494460No2,655*
7213-2-238.1Yes3850111No5,089*
7112-4-127.6Yes2853181No9,067*
7012-3-218.899.9%19542530No16,316*
6912-2-312.099.6124733700No27,021*
6811-4-26.698.8739411210No42,752*
6711-3-33.496.93304420300No66,470*
6610-5-21.492.51194329710No99,216*
6510-4-30.585.001137371320No142,112*
6410-3-40.273.106274022500No197,820*
639-5-30.057.30217383110100No261,171*
629-4-40.040.1019303719400No338,925*
619-3-50.024.20042037299100No423,619*
608-5-40.012.300111313617300No507,293*
598-4-5No5.10052137279100No591,856*
588-3-6No1.6002113035184000No665,795*
577-5-5No0.4000419352810200No724,069*
567-4-6No0.100192735216100No764,172*
556-6-5No0.0003163230143000No776,570*
546-5-6No0.000172334259200No764,846*
536-4-7NoNo002112832196100No725,474*
525-6-6NoNo004163129154000No665,480*
515-5-7NoNo001721322611200No589,177*
505-4-8NoNo0021025322171000.0%505,300*
494-6-7NoNo00041429311741000.0414,574*
484-5-8NoNo0016193228122000.2327,536*
474-4-9NoNo00292534237100.9248,337*
463-6-8NoNo003143133163003.2181,367*
453-5-9NoNo0162136288108.9126,442*
443-4-10NoNo002113037172019.484,241*
432-6-9NoNo0052139286034.553,325*
422-5-10NoNo0211353913152.131,935*
412-4-11NoNo005264422268.318,257*
401-6-10NoNo02164334582.09,777*
391-5-11NoNo193842990.04,929*
381-4-12NoNo05314916095.52,332*
371-3-13NoNo219542597.6953*
360-5-12NoNo1135134199.4340*
350-4-13NoNo647461Yes125*
340-3-14NoNo4654Yes39*
330-2-15NoNo100Yes3
310-0-17NoNo0127315Yes1,294
Total:0.2%9.8%01358101112111087543210001.0%10,421,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship