Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense Title Chances 2007Did not play, title odds down 0.2 to 0.4% 32 points 9-5-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | | Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | | Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 | | | +0.5 | | | | | | | Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | | Flamengo 3 Goias 1 | | | +0.5 | | +0.1 | | +0.0 | | | America-RN 1 Santos 4 | | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Sport Recife vs Gremio | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | -5.1-2.4+6.0 | | +0.5+0.0-0.4 | | -0.9-0.3+0.9 | | | Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | -1.1+0.2+0.6 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | Parana vs Cruzeiro | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.5+0.3-0.5 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | | | | Botafogo vs Flamengo | | | -0.9+0.5+1.0 | | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | Vasco da Gama vs Nautico | | | -0.8+0.6+1.1 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | Santos vs Atletico-PR | | | -0.6+0.3+0.6 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | Internacional vs Fluminense | | | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | | Juventude vs Goias | | | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Atletico-MG vs Corinthians | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | | Figueirense vs America-RN | | | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Gremio vs Botafogo | +0.4-0.1-0.2 | | +8.0-1.5-5.3 | | -0.4-0.0+0.3 | | +1.0-0.1-0.7 | | | Gremio vs Vasco da Gama | +0.4-0.1-0.2 | | +7.9-1.5-5.3 | | -0.4*-0.0+0.3 | | +1.0-0.1-0.7 | | | Sao Paulo vs Parana | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | Juventude vs Cruzeiro | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | +0.8+0.4-0.5 | | | | | | | Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | +0.2+0.4-0.6 | | | | | | | Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama | | | +0.9+0.5-0.9 | | | | | | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | | | -0.2+0.6-0.2 | | | | | | | Corinthians vs Santos | | | +0.5+0.3-0.6 | | | | | | | Santos vs Internacional | | | -0.4+0.4+0.1 | | | | | | | Nautico vs Internacional | | | +0.4+0.2-0.3 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Goias vs Atletico-PR | | | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | Goias vs Figueirense | | | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | | Flamengo vs Sport Recife | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | Sport Recife vs Fluminense | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | | Parana vs Nautico | | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | | | | | | Corinthians vs America-RN | | | | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.5 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,296 | | | 80 | -81 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30 | * | | 79 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 94.3 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70 | | | 78 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 90.7 | | Yes | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150 | | | 77 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 83.5 | | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 303 | * | | 76 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 79.0 | | Yes | 79 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 806 | | | 75 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 67.7 | | Yes | 68 | 31 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,516 | * | | 74 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 56.6 | | Yes | 57 | 40 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,077 | * | | 73 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 46.6 | | Yes | 47 | 47 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,947 | * | | 72 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 36.6 | | 100.0 | % | 37 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,449 | * | | 71 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 27.0 | | 100.0 | | 27 | 54 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,340 | * | | 70 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 18.0 | | 99.9 | | 18 | 52 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,614 | * | | 69 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 10.9 | | 99.6 | | 11 | 47 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,682 | * | | 68 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 6.2 | | 98.7 | | 6 | 39 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 74,634 | * | | 67 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 3.0 | | 96.6 | | 3 | 29 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,666 | * | | 66 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.3 | | 92.1 | | 1 | 19 | 43 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 156,285 | * | | 65 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.4 | | 84.0 | | 0 | 11 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 214,470 | * | | 64 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 71.9 | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 283,366 | * | | 63 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 56.0 | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 362,325 | * | | 62 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 38.9 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 446,290 | * | | 61 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 23.2 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 531,051 | * | | 60 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 11.5 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 614,540 | * | | 59 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | 4.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 685,724 | * | | 58 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 1.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 739,327 | * | | 57 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 770,154 | * | | 56 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 399,483 | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 376,396 | * | | 55 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 754,971 | * | | 54 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 711,791 | * | | 53 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 645,352 | * | | 52 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 565,582 | * | | 51 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 477,433 | * | | 50 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 389,409 | * | | 49 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 304,535 | * | | 48 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 228,374 | * | | 47 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | 1.1 | | 164,072 | * | | 46 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 3.9 | | 113,601 | * | | 45 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 10.4 | | 74,659 | * | | 44 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | 22.0 | | 46,920 | * | | 43 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 7 | 0 | | 38.2 | | 27,751 | * | | 42 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 1 | | 56.2 | | 15,529 | * | | 41 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 45 | 25 | 3 | | 72.2 | | 8,257 | * | | 40 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 84.4 | | 4,127 | * | | 39 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 92.7 | | 1,861 | * | | 38 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 49 | 20 | 0 | 96.3 | | 837 | * | | 37 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 19 | 48 | 32 | 1 | 99.7 | | 294 | * | | 36 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 46 | 43 | 2 | Yes | 96 | * | | 35 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 39 | 56 | 6 | Yes | 18 | | | 34 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 17 | 67 | | Yes | 6 | | | 32 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 17 | 72 | 11 | Yes | 1,294 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.4 | % | 13.9 | % | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | % | 10,421,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |